[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Tropical Depression Fred Local Statement Advisory Number 13
National Weather Service Miami FL  AL062021
506 PM EDT Thu Aug 12 2021

This product covers South Florida

**Tropical Storm Watch Now In Effect For Portions of South Florida**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Coastal Collier, Far
      South Miami-Dade, and Mainland Monroe

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Coastal Collier, Far
      South Miami-Dade, and Mainland Monroe

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 440 miles southeast of Miami FL or about 530 miles
      southeast of Naples FL
    - 21.3N 75.3W
    - Storm Intensity 35 mph
    - Movement West-northwest or 295 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Depression Fred is moving west-northwestward just north of
the coast of Cuba this evening and is forecast to approach the
Florida Straits and South Florida this weekend.

* The window of concern for potential impacts across South Florida
  is from Friday evening through Saturday night.
* The greatest risk for tropical storm conditions is along coastal
  southwest Florida.
* However, all of South Florida is also at risk for tropical storm
  force wind gusts in rain bands.
* Flooding from excessive rainfall will also be possible, especially
  across portions of Southeast Florida.
* A few tornadoes will be possible across the region.
* Some uncertainty remains with the intensity forecast for Fred as
  it interacts with Cuba.
* Residents and visitors should not focus on the exact forecast
  track as flooding rain, damaging wind, and tornadoes can extend
  away from the center of the storm.
* Now is the time to begin any preparedness measures.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across portions of South Florida. Potential impacts
include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Ditches and canals may quickly become swollen with swift
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across Southwest Florida Coast.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
South Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
South Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, mobile
      homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and
      branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving
      vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
 immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to
move, relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate,
help keep roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.

If you are a visitor, know the name of the county or parish in which
you are located and where it is relative to current watches and
warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their
onsite disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially
pertaining to area visitors.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Miami FL around 11 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$
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