[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Oct 15 06:43:27 CDT 2020


ABNT20 KNHC 151143
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure near the Lesser Antilles has become
less well defined since yesterday.  Strong upper-level winds are
expected to continue to inhibit development while the system moves
west-northwestward over the next couple of days.  Although
development is no longer anticipated, the system could produce
locally heavy rainfall across portions of the Lesser Antilles, the
Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico over the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

A broad non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form over
the weekend several hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Some
slow development will be possible thereafter into early next week
while the system moves southwestward and then westward, passing
about midway between Bermuda and the northern Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A broad area of low pressure could form by early next week over
the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Some gradual development of the
system will be possible thereafter while it moves slowly
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven
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