[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Oct 15 00:20:51 CDT 2020


ABNT20 KNHC 150520
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure near the Lesser Antilles continues to
produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms,
well to the east of its center.  Strong upper-level winds are
expected to continue to inhibit development while the system moves
west-northwestward over the next couple of days.  Regardless of
development, the system could produce locally heavy rainfall across
portions of the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto
Rico over the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

A broad non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form over
the weekend several hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Some
slow development will be possible thereafter into early next week
while the system moves southwestward and then westward, passing
about midway between Bermuda and the northern Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A broad area of low pressure could form by early next week over
the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Some gradual development of the
system will be possible thereafter while it moves slowly
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown
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