[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS82 KMHX 170919
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NCZ045>047-080-081-094-194>196-199-203>205-171730-

Tropical Storm Arthur Local Statement Advisory Number 3
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC  AL012020
519 AM EDT Sun May 17 2020

This product covers Eastern North Carolina

**TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR TO IMPACT EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
      Warning for Beaufort, Coastal Onslow, East Carteret, Hatteras
      Island, Mainland Dare, Mainland Hyde, Northern Outer Banks,
      Ocracoke Island, Pamlico, Southern Craven, Tyrrell, Washington,
      and West Carteret

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Beaufort, Coastal
      Onslow, East Carteret, Hatteras Island, Mainland Dare, Mainland
      Hyde, Northern Outer Banks, Ocracoke Island, Pamlico, Southern
      Craven, Tyrrell, Washington, and West Carteret

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 380 miles south-southwest of Buxton NC or about 330 miles
      south of Morehead City NC
    - 30.0N 77.6W
    - Storm Intensity 40 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 15 degrees at 9 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Arthur, currently located well offshore of
Jacksonville, Florida, is forecast to strengthen as it nears the North
Carolina coast Sunday and Sunday night. The Tropical Storm will then
pass over or just offshore of coastal eastern North Carolina Monday
morning through afternoon, with some uncertainty remaining in the
track forecast.

The threat for stronger and more frequent rip currents begins today at
area beaches, as swell from the tropical storm begins to arrive making
swimming dangerous.

Tropical storm force winds are expected along the coast. These winds
could lead to some downed trees and widely scattered power outages.
Dependent on the track, a few tornadoes are possible as well, which
could lead to locally enhanced damage.

Minor inundation from storm surge is possible for very low-lying areas
adjacent to the ocean, sounds, and rivers, with overwash of dunes and
flooding of properties and roadways possible for locations where dune
structures are weak mainly north of Cape Lookout.

Dangerous marine conditions are also expected, with seas building to
8 to 10 feet creating treacherous conditions for mariners.

Periods of moderate to heavy rainfall are possible mainly along the
coast, with the potential for localized minor flooding of low lying
areas.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
Stronger and more frequent rip currents caused by swell from Tropical
Storm Arthur begin today. No one should enter the water. Additionally,
strong winds and large seas of 6-10 ft will arrive early Monday morning
through Monday afternoon. Mariners are advised to avoid navigating
during this time.

* WIND:
Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts
across much of coastal North Carolina. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Elsewhere across Eastern North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* SURGE:
Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across the low-lying areas adjacent to tidal waterways.
Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion and waves breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across The Outer and Inner Banks and Crystal Coast.
Potential impacts include:
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
      and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
      closures.

Elsewhere across Eastern North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time
across Eastern North Carolina.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions, including
possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Newport/Morehead City NC around 11 AM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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