[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Tropical Storm Arthur Local Statement Advisory Number 2
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC  AL012020
1127 PM EDT Sat May 16 2020

This product covers Eastern North Carolina

**TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR FORMS EAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Beaufort, Coastal
      Onslow, East Carteret, Hatteras Island, Mainland Dare, Mainland
      Hyde, Northern Outer Banks, Ocracoke Island, Pamlico, Southern
      Craven, Tyrrell, Washington, and West Carteret

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 420 miles south-southwest of Buxton NC or about 370 miles
      south of Morehead City NC
    - 29.4N 77.7W
    - Storm Intensity 40 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 30 degrees at 13 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Arthur, currently located off the east-central
Florida coast, is forecast to strengthen as it nears the North
Carolina coast Sunday night and Monday. There is still some
uncertainty regarding the exact forecast track and a slight shift
could change specific impacts. The center of the storm could remain
off the North Carolina coast or it could make landfall.

Tropical storm force winds will be possible along the coast. These
winds could lead to some downed trees and widely scattered power
outages.

Minor storm surge impacts will be possible for very low-lying areas
adjacent to the ocean, sounds, and rivers, however impacts at
specific locations will be track dependent.

Dangerous marine conditions are also expected, with seas building to
8 to 10 feet. Rough surf conditions will develop along the coast
Sunday into Monday with a dangerous rip currents threat continuing
into the middle of next week.

Periods of locally heavy rain will be possible along the coast, with
the potential for localized minor flooding of low lying areas, however
widespread flooding is not expected. Isolated tornadoes cannot be
ruled out late Sunday night and Monday.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across coastal
areas. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Some large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across Eastern North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across very low lying areas near tidal waterways. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across Eastern North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
Rough surf and dangerous rip currents will impact the beaches Sunday
through early to mid next week.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across Eastern North
Carolina.

* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across Eastern North
Carolina.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging wind
gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the center of
the storm.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of
others.

Check on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are
unable to make personal preparations.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Newport/Morehead City NC around 5 AM Sunday, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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