[Tropical] Tropical Weather Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

AXNT20 KNHC 222258
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
658 PM EDT Wed Apr 22 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough passes from the coast of Sierra Leone near
08N13W to 00N28W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection
is from 00N to 07N between 14W and 20W. Scattered moderate
convection is located from 00N to 08N between 24W and 52W.


GULF OF MEXICO...

As of 22/2100 UTC, a cold front is located from near Sarasota
Florida to near 28N85W. From there there front has become
stationary, NW to near Gulfport MS. No showers are occurring with
this front. To the S of this front, a wide area of fresh to strong
S winds encompass much of the Gulf.

A developing low pressure system over the U.S. southern plains
will pull fresh to strong SE to S winds across the basin through
Thu. The low will drag a cold front across the northern Gulf Thu
through Fri. A second cold front will move into the NW Gulf Fri
night, then extend from S Florida to the SW Gulf Sun.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

Moderate to fresh trade winds are occurring in the Caribbean Sea.
A few showers are located around the Greater Antilles. Moderate
convection is located along the coast of Colombia.

Strong E to SE winds will pulse at night over the
Gulf of Honduras through Sat night, in response to low pres
passing over the SE United States. A high pres ridge over the
western Atlc will maintain fresh to strong trade winds over the S
central Caribbean tonight through Sun. Moderate to fresh trades
are expected elsewhere Thu through Sat.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

At 22/2100 UTC, a cold front was located from 31N59W to 21N77W.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are occurring within about 90
nm S of the boundary, mainly E of 65W. Another faster moving cold
front stretches from 31N69W to West Palm Beach FL near 26N80W.
This front is void of precipitation. Behind this second front,
high pressure that has moved off the Carolinas' coast is building
into the western Atlantic. In the eastern Atlantic, a dissipating
cold front stretches from 31N23W to 28N30W. Showers associated
with this front have diminished.

The second cold front will move east and merge with the initial
western Atlantic cold front tonight. The combined front will then
stall Thu, and dissipate Fri over the central Atlantic. The next
cold front will head E from the SE United States coast Fri
through Sat morning. Strong to near gale force S to SW winds are
expected ahead of this front N of the Bahamas Thu through Fri.
Another cold front will move off the coast of northern Florida
late Sat night, then extend from near Bermuda to S Florida Sun.

$$
KONARIK
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