[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 091805
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM EDT Mon Sep 9 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Gabrielle, located over the north-central Atlantic Ocean.

A weak area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave,
centered about 1200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues
to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow
development of this system is possible during the next two or
three days before upper-level winds become unfavorable for
tropical cyclone formation. This system is expected to move
generally westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean for the
next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Disorganized cloudiness and showers located a few hundred miles
north of Hispaniola are associated with a surface trough
interacting with an upper-level low. Little-to-no development of
this system is expected during the next day or two while it
moves west-northwestward near the southeastern Bahamas.
Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive
for development when the disturbance moves near the northwestern
Bahamas, south Florida and over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico
late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave currently near the west coast of Africa is
expected to move quickly westward during the next several days.
Some slow development is possible late this week or over the
weekend when the system is several hundred miles east of the
Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Taylor/Blake
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