[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 091746
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM EDT Mon Sep 9 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Gabrielle, located over the north-central Atlantic Ocean.

A weak area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave,
centered about 1200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow
development of this system is possible during the next two or three
days before upper-level winds become unfavorable for tropical
cyclone formation. This system is expected to move generally
westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean for the next
several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Disorganized cloudiness and showers located a few hundred miles
north of Hispaniola are associated with a surface trough interacting
with an upper-level low. Little-to-no development of this system is
expected during the next day or two while it moves west-
northwestward near the southeastern Bahamas. Environmental
conditions could become a little more conducive for development when
the disturbance moves near the northwestern Bahamas, south Florida
and over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave currently near the west coast of Africa is expected
to move quickly westward during the next several days. Some slow
development is possible late this week or over the weekend when the
system is several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Taylor/Blake
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