[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Hurricane Dorian Local Statement Advisory Number 43
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL  AL052019
1110 PM EDT Tue Sep 3 2019

This product covers Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia

**DORIAN SLOWLY MOVING UP THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA...CONDITIONS
BEGINNING TO DEGRADE IN FLAGLER COUNTY**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
      Coastal Flagler and Coastal St. Johns
    - A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Inland Flagler and Inland
      St. Johns
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for Inland Glynn
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Clay, Eastern Marion,
      Inland Camden, Inland Duval, Inland Nassau, and Putnam
    - A Storm Surge Warning, Tropical Storm Warning, and Hurricane
      Watch are in effect for Coastal Camden, Coastal Duval, Coastal
      Glynn, and Coastal Nassau

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 200 miles southeast of Jacksonville FL or about 150 miles
      east-southeast of Flagler Beach FL
    - 28.4N 79.0W
    - Storm Intensity 110 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 340 degrees at 6 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Dorian remains a strong hurricane with peak
winds of 110 mph with higher gusts. Dorian has begun a more consistent
northwest motion of about 6 mph, and that continues this evening.
Tropical storm winds of at least 39 mph, are beginning to arrive in
Flagler County, and is expected to spread northward across parts of
coastal northeast Florida and southeast Georgia tonight. Outer
rainbands may produce gusts to around 40 mph before the arrival of
sustained tropical storm winds. Hurricane strength winds or gusts are
possible from Ponte Vedra to Flagler Beach.

Dorian will also bring a high risk of storm surge flooding, periods of
heavy rainfall, and large battering waves to the coast. Significant to
severe beach erosion will be likely for the beaches, with the worst
conditions generally from Ponte Vedra southward.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the beaches of northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia.
Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

* WIND:
Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts
across the coast of northeast Florida and southeast Georgia. Potential
impacts in this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Also, protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across adjacent inland portions of northeast Florida and southeast
Georgia.

Elsewhere across Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across coastal northeast Florida and southeast
Georgia. Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across adjacent inland portions of northeast Florida
and southeast Georgia.

Elsewhere across Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across coastal northeast Florida and southeast Georgia. Potential
impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia, little to
no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended
preparedness actions, including possible evacuation. If ordered to
evacuate, do so immediately. Let others know where you are going prior
to departure. Secure loose items and pets in the car, and avoid
distracted driving.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of
life. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any
orders that are issued. Remember, during the storm 9 1 1 Emergency
Services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are
unsafe. This should be a big factor in your decision making.

Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles
can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide
poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly
ventilated area.

If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.

Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Jacksonville FL around 4 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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