[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KILM 040304
HLSILM
NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-054>056-058-059-041115-

Post-Tropical Cyclone Erin Local Statement Advisory Number 11
National Weather Service Wilmington NC  AL062019
1104 PM EDT Tue Sep 3 2019

This product covers southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina

**HURRICANE DORIAN EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
      Coastal Brunswick, Coastal Georgetown, Coastal Horry, Coastal
      New Hanover, Coastal Pender, Inland Brunswick, and Inland New
      Hanover
    - A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Central Horry, Inland
      Georgetown, Inland Pender, and Northern Horry
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bladen, Columbus,
      Darlington, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Marlboro, Robeson, and
      Williamsburg

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 370 miles east-northeast of Wilmington NC or about 440
      miles east-northeast of Myrtle Beach SC
    - 36.1N 71.6W
    - Storm Intensity 35 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 25 degrees at 15 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Dorian remains a strong hurricane as it tracks north off
the Florida coast. Dorian will make its closest approach to coastal
South and North Carolina this Thursday. Dorian is expected to bring
strong winds, storm surge inundation, flash flooding, rip currents,
and dangerous marine conditions later Wednesday through Thursday
night. The greatest impacts from Dorian will be felt over areas
closest to the coast.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for life-threatening wind having possible devastating impacts
across the entire coastline. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Structural damage can be expected to sturdy buildings, with
      some suffering severe or total destruction. Complete
      destruction of mobile homes and other poorly constructed
      buildings is likely. Damage greatly enhanced by large
      projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for a significant
      period of time.
    - Numerous large trees may be snapped or uprooted, along with
      fences and roadway signs gone.
    - Many roads will become unsafe and impassable from large debris.
      Many bridges, causeways, and other elevated roadways will
      become impassable.
    - Extensive power and communications outages can be expected.
    - Many vessels will break free from their moorings.

Also, prepare for life-threatening wind having possible significant
to extensive impacts across inland areas.

* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible extensive impacts
across the entire coastline. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding
      enhanced by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings is
      likely, with several potentially washing away. Damage will be
      compounded by floating debris. Some locations may become
      uninhabitable for an extended period.
    - Inundation is likely to impact vulnerable homes along tidal
      creeks and waterways farther inland.
    - Drinking water and sewer services will likely become impacted
      by the storm surge. Surge waters will contain hazardous
      materials.
    - Large sections of coastal roads will become flooded, or
      wash-out altogether.
    - Severe beach erosion is expected with significant dune loss.
      Sands from displaced dunes will likely deposit onto the barrier
      island roads.
    - Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers is
      possible. Many small craft broken away from moorings,
      especially in unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore
      and stranded inland.
    - Navigation may be difficult, especially near inlets and
      waterways, as some navigational aids may be off station or
      missing. Debris is possible in the waterways and other
      navigable channels.

Also, prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the entire coastline.


Elsewhere across southeast North Carolina and northeast South
Carolina, little to no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across areas mainly east of I-95. Potential impacts
include:
    - Moderate flooding from rainfall may prompt some evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and streams may rise and overspill their banks in a few
      places, especially in the typical prone locations. Small creeks
      and ditches may overflow.
    - Flood waters may enter some structures. Underpasses, low-lying
      spots along roadways, and poor drainage areas may become
      submerged by rising water. Some secondary streets and parking
      lots may flood as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.
    - Driving conditions will become hazardous, and some road
      closures can be expected.

Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across west of I-95.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina. Potential
impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Tornadoes can cause damage to trees, vehicles, boats, and
      buildings. Unsecured mobile homes and poorly constructed
      structures are particularly vulnerable.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep
roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

If evacuating, follow designated evacuation routes. Seek traffic
information on roadway signs, the radio, and from official sources.



* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging wind
gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the center of
the storm.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

If you are a visitor, know the name of the county or parish in which
you are located and where it is relative to current watches and
warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their
onsite disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially
pertaining to area visitors.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Wilmington NC around 5 AM , or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$
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