[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 190921
HLSTAE
FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-191730-

Tropical Storm Nestor Local Statement Advisory Number 8
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL  AL162019
521 AM EDT Sat Oct 19 2019 /421 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2019/

This product covers EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG BEND...
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA

**TROPICAL STORM NESTOR IS APPROACHING THE NORTH FLORIDA COAST**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Tropical Storm Warning has been cancelled for Central
      Walton, Holmes, and North Walton

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for Coastal Dixie, Coastal Franklin, Coastal Gulf, Coastal
      Jefferson, Coastal Taylor, and Coastal Wakulla
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Calhoun, Coastal Bay,
      Gadsden, Inland Bay, Inland Dixie, Inland Franklin, Inland
      Gulf, Inland Jefferson, Inland Taylor, Inland Wakulla, Jackson,
      Lafayette, Leon, Liberty, Madison, South Walton, and Washington

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 80 miles south-southwest of PANAMA CITY or about 80 miles
      southwest of APALACHICOLA
    - 29.0N 86.0W
    - Storm Intensity 50 mph
    - Movement Northeast or 45 degrees at 17 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

OVERVIEW...

The center of Tropical Storm Nestor is about 75 mi SW of Apalachicola, FL and is
moving NE towards the north Florida coast. Tropical storm force winds
are being observed along eastern portion of the FL Panhandle coast and will
continue to spread east and inland as the system continues to move NE. Strong winds
will potentially produce life-threatening inundation from storm surge along the
FL Big Bend coast and minor coastal flooding along the FL Panhandle coast.
The tornado threat is elevated across the Big Bend, where isolated tornadoes are
possible. Given the fast moving nature of the system, the flooding rain threat
is minimal, with only 2 to 4 inches of rain expected with isolated 5 inch amounts.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across
FLORIDA BIG BEND COASTLINE EAST OF INDIAN PASS. If realized, these
impacts include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Potential impacts from the main surge event are also now unfolding
across the FLORIDA BIG BEND COASTLINE EAST OF INDIAN PASS.

Elsewhere across EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG
BEND...SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG BEND...SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA
AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are still unfolding across
EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG BEND...SOUTHEASTERN
ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA. If realized, these impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG
BEND...SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA, little to no
impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep
roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

If evacuating, leave with a destination in mind and allow extra time
to get there. Take your emergency supplies kit. Gas up your vehicle
ahead of time.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of
others.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.

Check on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are
unable to make personal preparations.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tallahassee FL around 6 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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