[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Oct 9 13:04:23 CDT 2018


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Hurricane Michael Local Statement Intermediate Advisory Number 12A
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA  AL142018
203 PM EDT Tue Oct 9 2018

This product covers NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA

Hurricane Michael is expected to impact portions of central and east
Georgia late Wednesday into Thursday.

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Hurricane Watch
      and the Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical
      Storm Warning for Crisp, Dodge, Dooly, Pulaski, Sumter,
      Telfair, Webster, and Wilcox

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
      Crisp, Dodge, Dooly, Pulaski, Sumter, Telfair, Webster, and
      Wilcox
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Bibb, Bleckley,
      Chattahoochee, Crawford, Emanuel, Glascock, Houston, Jefferson,
      Johnson, Laurens, Macon, Marion, Montgomery, Peach, Schley,
      Stewart, Taylor, Toombs, Treutlen, Twiggs, Washington, Wheeler,
      and Wilkinson

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 490 miles south of Columbus GA or about 540 miles
      south-southwest of Macon GA
    - 25.4N 86.4W
    - Storm Intensity 110 mph
    - Movement North or 350 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Impacts from Hurricane Michael are expected to be felt across the
Florida panhandle early on Wednesday with actual landfall of the center
Wednesday afternoon. The remnants of Michael are expected to
accelerate northeastward later on Wednesday and move across portions of
central Georgia through early Thursday. It should be noted that
impacts from heavy rain and potential tornadoes may precede the most
significant winds with this system.

During the height of the storm, winds of 35 to 45 mph will be possible
with gusts as high as 65 mph across portions of central Georgia, with
the strongest winds roughly from Weston to Americus and Eastman.
Widespread rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches are expected, with the
potential for locally higher amounts of 6 to 7 inches, east and south
of Columbus to Athens.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible extensive impacts
across portions of Central and East Georgia. Potential impacts in this
area include:
    - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
      window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
      damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
      Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
      uninhabitable for weeks.
    - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
      roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways, and
      access routes impassable.
    - Large areas with power and communications outages.

Also, protect against dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across portions of Central and East Georgia.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across portions of Central and East Georgia Potential impacts
include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals,
      arroyos, and ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across portions of Central and East Georgia.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
portions of Central and East Georgia. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA, little to no impact is
anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Peachtree City GA around 530 PM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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