[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Oct 9 10:53:33 CDT 2018
WTUS84 KMOB 091552
HLSMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-100000-
Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 12
National Weather Service Mobile AL AL142018
1052 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018
This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.
**HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORT THAT MICHAEL IS STILL STRENGTHENING**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- The Tropical Storm Watch has been cancelled for Mobile Inland
and Monroe
- The Hurricane Watch has been cancelled for Baldwin Central,
Baldwin Coastal, Mobile Central, and Mobile Coastal
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Baldwin Inland, Butler,
Conecuh, Crenshaw, and Escambia
- A Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
Covington
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Baldwin Central,
Baldwin Coastal, Mobile Central, and Mobile Coastal
- A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Escambia Inland, Okaloosa
Inland, and Santa Rosa Inland
- A Hurricane Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect for
Escambia Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Coastal
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 410 miles south-southeast of Mobile AL or about 380 miles
south of Pensacola FL
- 25.0N 86.2W
- Storm Intensity 110 mph
- Movement North or 350 degrees at 12 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
At 10:00 AM CDT, Hurricane Michael was located near latitude 25.0 North,
longitude 86.2 West with maximum sustained winds of 110 mph. Michael was
moving toward the north at 12 mph. The hurricane will continue to move
northward through tonight then change to a northeastward motion on
Wednesday and make landfall over the Florida panhandle or Florida Big
Bend area and continue well inland. Michael is forecast to become a
major hurricane at landfall in Florida. Wind impacts associated with
Michael can be expected as this evening and continuing into Wednesday.
Storm surge inundation up to 2 and 4 feet expected from the Alabama and
Florida state line eastward to the Okaloosa, Walton county line. Along
the Alabama coast, coastal flooding with inundation between 1 and 2 feet
is expected. Periods of heavy rainfall could lead to localized flooding
primarily over Covington, Crenshaw, Santa Rosa and Okaloosa counties
late tonight through Wednesday evening. Please continue to monitor the
latest forecast and prepare now for possible strong winds, storm surge
flooding, and heavy rainfall.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible extensive
impacts across Okaloosa and Covington counties. Potential impacts in
this area include:
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.
Also, protect against dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across the remainder of the western Florida Panhandle
and portions of southern and southwestern Alabama.
* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the western Florida panhandle. Potential impacts in
this area include:
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
spots.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
numerous rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages.
Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across coastal Alabama.
Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across Alabama counties of Crenshaw and Covington as well as
Okaloosa and Santa Rosa counties, Florida. Potential impacts include:
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
ditches overflow.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.
Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.
* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across portions of
southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south central Alabama...and
inland southeast Mississippi..
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so immediately.
For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep
roadways open for those under evacuation orders.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of
life. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any
orders that are issued. Remember, during the storm 9 1 1 Emergency
Services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are
unsafe. This should be a big factor in your decision making.
Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 5 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.
$$
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