[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 11
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA  AL142018
636 AM EDT Tue Oct 9 2018

This product covers NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA

Michael is expected to impact portions of central and east Georgia
late Wednesday into Thursday.

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Bleckley, Crisp,
      Dodge, Dooly, Emanuel, Johnson, Laurens, Montgomery, Pulaski,
      Stewart, Sumter, Telfair, Toombs, Treutlen, Webster, Wheeler,
      and Wilcox

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Bleckley, Crisp, Dodge,
      Dooly, Emanuel, Johnson, Laurens, Montgomery, Pulaski, Stewart,
      Sumter, Telfair, Toombs, Treutlen, Webster, Wheeler, and Wilcox

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 560 miles south-southwest of Cordele GA or about 600
      miles south-southwest of Vidalia GA
    - 24.1N 85.9W
    - Storm Intensity 90 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 345 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

OVERVIEW...

Hurricane Michael is expected to make landfall across the Florida
panhandle early on Wednesday. The remnants of Michael are expected to
accelerate northeastward later on Wednesday and move across portions
of central Georgia through early Thursday. It should be noted that
impacts from heavy rain and potential tornadoes may precede the most
significant winds with this system.

During the height of the storm, winds of 25 to 40 mph will be possible
with gusts as high as 60 mph across portions of central Georgia, with
the strongest winds roughly south of Columbus and Macon. Widespread
rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches are expected, with the potential for
locally higher amounts of 6 to 7 inches, east and south of Columbus to
Athens.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across portions of central and east Georgia from
Columbus to Athens and south.

Potential impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and
      ditches may become dangerous rivers. In mountain areas,
      destructive runoff may run quickly down valleys while
      increasing susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood
      control systems and barriers may become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible limited
significant impacts across portions of north and central Georgia north
of Columbus to Athens.

* WIND:
Prepare for life-threatening wind having possible extensive impacts
across portions of central Georgia from Stewart to Dooly to Emanuel
counties.

Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
      window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
      damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
      Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
      uninhabitable for weeks.
    - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
      roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways, and
      access routes impassable.
    - Large areas with power and communications outages.

Also, prepare for dangerous wind having possible limited significant
impacts across the rest of central Georgia.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
portions of central Georgia south of Columbus and Macon.

Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA, little to no impact is
anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.


NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Peachtree City GA around 1200 PM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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