[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Oct 8 16:24:14 CDT 2018


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Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 9
National Weather Service New Orleans LA  AL142018
423 PM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

This product covers Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi

**Tropical Storm Watches in Effect Ahead of Hurricane Michael**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Hancock, Harrison,
      and Jackson

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Hancock, Harrison, and
      Jackson

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 620 miles south-southeast of New Orleans LA or about 610
      miles south-southeast of Gulfport MS
    - 22.2N 85.2W
    - Storm Intensity 80 mph
    - Movement North or 355 degrees at 9 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

* OVERVIEW...At 400 PM CDT, the center of Hurricane Michael was
located near latitude 22.2 North, longitude 85.2 West. Michael is
moving toward the north near 9 mph. A northward to north-northwestward
motion at a slightly faster forward speed is expected through Tuesday
night, followed by a northeastward motion on Wednesday and Thursday.
On the forecast track, the center of Michael will move into the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico this evening, then move across the
eastern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday and Tuesday night. The center of
Michael is expected to move inland over the Florida Panhandle or
Florida Big Bend area on Wednesday, and then move northeastward across
the southeastern United States Wednesday night and Thursday.

The primary impact will be possible tropical storm force winds
across portions of Mississippi Coast by late Tuesday. Secondary threats heavy
rainfall of heavy rainfall of 1 to 2 inches with locally higher amounts, and storm
surge of 1 to 3 feet, along the Mississippi coast eastern facing shores.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across the Mississippi Gulf Coast.
 Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Scattered power outages.

Elsewhere across Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible limited impacts across the Mississippi Gulf Coast.
 Potential impacts include:
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
      and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
      closures.

Elsewhere across Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi, little to no impact is anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

WATCH/WARNING PHASE - Listen to local official for recommended
preparedness actions, including possible evacuation. If ordered to
evacuate, do so immediately.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of
others.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in New Orleans LA around 10 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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