[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS82 KMHX 290941
HLSMHX
NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-291745-

Tropical Cyclone Ten Local Statement Advisory Number 7
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC  AL102017
541 AM EDT Tue Aug 29 2017

This product covers Eastern North Carolina

 **DISTURBANCE LOCATED NEAR THE SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA
COASTAL BORDER**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Beaufort, Carteret,
      Craven, Jones, Mainland Dare, Mainland Hyde, Onslow, Outer
      Banks Dare, Outer Banks Hyde, Pamlico, Tyrrell, and Washington

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 210 miles southwest of Buxton NC or about 130 miles
      southwest of Morehead City NC
    - 33.5N 78.5W
    - Storm Intensity 40 mph
    - Movement Northeast or 45 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

The center of Potential Tropical Cyclone 10 is located about
65 miles southwest of Wilmington, North Carolina and is currently
moving northeast at 12 mph. This general motion with a gradual
increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days.
On the forecast track, the system will move over or near the coast of
South Carolina this morning and move across the North Carolina Outer
Banks later today.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph with higher gusts. The
disturbance is not expected to change much in strength through this
morning and the chances for the system to become a tropical cyclone
appear to be decreasing. Regardless of whether or not this system
becomes a tropical cyclone, tropical-storm-force winds and heavy rains
are expected over mainly coastal locations today. The strongest winds
are expected over the northern Outer Banks later today as the storm
exits.

Widespread and heavy coastal rainfall with additional amounts of 1 to
3 inches, are expected through early this afternoon. This will bring
storm total rainfall to 3 to 6 inches and could cause flooding of poor
drainage and low-lying areas.

Minor inundation impacts of 1 to 2 feet above ground are expected
along vulnerable areas adjacent to the sounds and rivers as well as
the ocean side of the Outer Banks.

There will be a high threat of rip currents along all area beaches
along with rough surf with breaking waves 6 to 9 feet that could
result in minor erosion and overwash. It is recommended to avoid
swimming.

There will be a threat of isolated tornadoes this morning through mid
day today, especially along and right of the circulation center.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
Eastern North Carolina. Remain well guarded against flood
waters having possible significant impacts. If
realized, these impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
Eastern North Carolina. Remain well sheltered from hazardous wind
having possible limited impacts. If realized,
these impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* SURGE:
Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across
vulnerable areas of the sounds and adjacent rivers as well as ocean
side of the Outer Banks. Remain well away from locally hazardous
surge having possible limited impacts. If
realized, these impacts include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across Eastern North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are still unfolding across Eastern
North Carolina. Remain well braced against a tornado event having
possible limited impacts. If realized, these impacts
include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

Do not return to evacuated areas until
hazardous winds diminish and flood waters abate.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Listen for updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power.
Locate your battery powered radio and flashlight from your
Emergency Supplies Kit. Keep these items close.

During the peak of the storm, keep your shoes on and rain gear handy.
Boots and tennis shoes offer the best foot protection if you become
unexpectedly exposed to the elements.

Continue to keep your cell phone well charged for as long as
possible. If you lose power, use it more sparingly and mainly for
personal emergencies and check-ins. Do not overload communications
systems with idle chatter.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Newport/Morehead City NC around 8 AM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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