[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Aug 28 10:56:40 CDT 2017


WTUS82 KILM 281555
HLSILM
NCZ105>110-SCZ053>056-290000-

Tropical Cyclone Ten Local Statement Advisory Number 4
National Weather Service Wilmington NC  AL102017
1155 AM EDT Mon Aug 28 2017

This product covers SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA

 **Potential Tropical Cyclone 10 may bring heavy rain and gusty winds
to much of northeast South Carolina and southeast North Carolina**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Coastal Brunswick,
      Coastal Georgetown, Coastal Horry, Coastal New Hanover, Coastal
      Pender, Inland Brunswick, Inland Georgetown, Inland Horry,
      Inland New Hanover, and Inland Pender

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 240 miles southwest of Wilmington NC
    - 31.4N 80.3W
    - Storm Intensity 35 mph
    - Movement north-northeast or 25 degrees at 9 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Potential Tropical Cyclone Number 10 is located 240 miles southwest
of Wilmington, North Carolina. This system is expected to move up the
coast of South Carolina through this evening, and then off the North
Carolina coast on Tuesday. Winds will increase as the system makes
it's closest approach, potentially reaching tropical storm force
overnight through Tuesday morning. Heavy rain is expected to overspread
the area, and many locations may see in excess of 6 inches of rainfall
which could cause flash flooding, and a flash flood watch is in
effect for much of northeast South Carolina and southeast North
Carolina. This system is not yet well defined, and considerable
uncertainty remains with exactly how organized it will become before
reaching our area.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across northeast South Carolina and southeast
North Carolina. Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate flooding from rainfall may prompt evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and streams may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple
      places. Creeks and ditches will flood.
    - Flood waters may enter some structures. Underpasses, low-lying
      spots along roadways, and poor drainage areas may become
      submerged by rising water. Some secondary streets and parking
      lots may flood as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.
    - Driving conditions will become hazardous, and some road
      closures can be expected. Some roadways may erode or scour
      and wash away.

Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across coastal South and North Carolina.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across northeast
South Carolina and southeast North Carolina. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes is possible. Unsecured lightweight objects may be
      blown about.
    - Some large limbs may break from trees. A few shallow rooted or
      weak trees may snap or be knocked down. Some fences and roadway
      signs damaged.
    - A few roads may become impassable due to debris, particularly
      within urban or heavily wooded locations. Hazardous driving
      conditions are possible, especially for high profile vehicles
      on bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages are possible.

Elsewhere across southeast north carolina and northeast south carolina,
little to no impact is anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across coastal South
and North Carolina. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Tornadoes can cause damage to trees, vehicles, boats, and
      buildings. Unsecured mobile homes and poorly constructed
      structures are particularly vulnerable.

Elsewhere across southeast north carolina and northeast south carolina,
little to no impact is anticipated.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
Strong, life threatening rip currents are likely at all area beaches through Tuesday.
Large breaking waves of 6 feet or higher will create dangerous surf conditions,
and this wave action could lead to beach and dune erosion as well as
some overwash during high tide.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
No evacuations are necessary.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track as there are inherent forecast uncertainties
which must be taken into account.

Be a Good Samaritan and check on those who may not be fully aware of
the situation or who are unable to make personal preparations.

Closely monitor NOAA Weather Radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the
forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Wilmington NC around 5 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$

JDW
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