[Tropical] Tropical Weather Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

AXNT20 KNHC 240000
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GULF OF MEXICO GALE WARNING...A COLD FRONT IS ALONG THE COAST OF
TEXAS. FREQUENT GUSTS TO 35 KT ARE N OF 28N W OF 93W WITH SEAS
BUILDING TO 10 FT. TONIGHT ON 24/0000 UTC THE COLD FRONT WILL
EXTEND FROM 30N89W TO 26N93W TO 23N98W. A GALE IS FORECAST W OF
FRONT WITH NW TO N WINDS 30 TO 40 KT AND SEAS TO 14 FT. THE GALE
IS FORECAST TO PERSIST UNTIL 25/0000 UTC. SEE LATEST NHC HIGH
SEAS FORECAST UNDER THE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH ENTERS THE E TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 10N15W TO
9N18W TO 01N23W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES TO 03S35W TO
02S40W TO THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 02S45W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM EQUATOR TO 3S BETWEEN 21W-25W... AND
FROM 01S-07S BETWEEN 30W-40W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A COLD FRONT IS ALONG THE COAST OF TEXAS MOVING SE. 25 KT WINDS
OR GREATER ARE ON BOTH SIDES OF THE FRONT. FREQUENT GUSTS TO
GALE ARE BEING REPORTED OFF THE COAST OF HOUSTON TEXAS. A GALE
IS FORECAST TONIGHT ON 24/0000 UTC. SEE ABOVE. A PREFRONTAL
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 30N93W TO 26N95W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 28N-31N BETWEEN 89W-93W TO INCLUDE SE
LOUISIANA AND S MISSISSIPPI. FURTHER S...SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
OVER W CUBA AND THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA BETWEEN 80W-83W.
ELSEWHERE...THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO S OF 25N W OF 83W HAS
FAIR WEATHER WITH 15 KT S WINDS. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE GULF WITH AXIS ALONG 94W SUPPORTING THE
COLD FRONT. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER LOUISIANA AND
MISSISSIPPI. STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS OVER THE GULF. EXPECT IN 24
HOURS FOR THE COLD FRONT TO EXTEND FROM JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA TO
THE CENTRAL YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH CONVECTION. GALE FORCE WINDS
WILL THEN BE PREDOMINATELY OVER THE NE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

10-25 KT TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH STRONGEST
WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER
PUERTO RICO...HISPANIOLA...W CUBA...W PANAMA...AND COSTA RICA.
MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE SEA. IN THE
UPPER LEVELS...A BROAD RIDGE IS OVER THE CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS
ALONG 70W. STRONG SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN AND
CENTRAL AMERICA. EXPECT IN 24 HOURS FOR CONVECTION TO BE OVER
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE YUCATAN CHANNEL DUE TO THE COLD
FRONT. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE ELSEWHERE.

HISPANIOLA...

ISOLATED LOW LEVEL SHOWERS ARE PRESENTLY OVER CENTRAL
HISPANIOLA. EXPECT FEWER SHOWERS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A STATIONARY FRONT ENTERS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 30N49W AND
EXTENDS SW TO N OF HISPANIOLA ALONG 26N60W 25N67W 20N69W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE FRONT N OF 22N. A 1031
MB HIGH IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR 34N24W. OF NOTE IN THE UPPER
LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 30N44W. UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE E OF THE CENTER IS ENHANCING SHOWERS. EXPECT THE
FRONT TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH
SHOWERS. ALSO EXPECT IN 24 HOURS FOR SHOWERS TO BE OVER THE W
ATLANTIC OFF THE COAST OF FLORIDA DUE TO THE APPROACHING COLD
FRONT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net