[Tropical] Tropical Weather Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

AXNT20 KNHC 021039
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SAT APR 02 2016

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1030 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...GULF OF MEXICO GALE AREA...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 30N86W TO 20N97W. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP W OF A LINE FROM 23N97W TO 19N95W. THIS GALE
IS FORECAST TO PERSIST UNTIL EARLY SUN. FOR MORE INFORMATION
PLEASE REFER TO THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST PRODUCT UNDER THE
AWIPS/WMO HEADER HSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM WEST AFRICA NEAR 08N13W TO
05N16W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 05N16W TO 05S36W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS ALONG THE ITCZ BETWEEN 15W-32W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE NE GULF SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT THAT
EXTENDS FROM 30N86W TO 20N97W. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING ACROSS THE SW GULF.
PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE FOR MORE DETAILS. SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PREVAIL ACROSS THE EASTERN
PART OF THE FRONT MAINLY N OF 28N AND E OF 86W. ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE BASIN...FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS. EXPECT DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE FRONT TO CONTINUE MOVING E ENHANCING
CONVECTION ACROSS THE E GULF AND FLORIDA PENINSULA. GALE
FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS THE ATLANTIC
EXTENDING SW REACHING THE CARIBBEAN. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS PREVAIL ACROSS THE NE PORTION OF THE BASIN
AFFECTING HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...AND
ADJACENT WATERS N OF 16N. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS MODERATE TO
FRESH TRADES ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 70W WHILE GENTLE TO
MODERATE SE WINDS PREVAIL W OF 70W. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE IN
CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.


HISPANIOLA...

ISOLATED SHOWERS PREVAIL ACROSS THE ISLAND AT THIS TIME. SIMILAR
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS APPROACHING THE EASTERN US COAST ENHANCING
CONVECTION ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC MAINLY W OF 77W. TO THE E...A
1033 MB HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN
CENTERED NEAR 35N45W. S OF THIS FEATURE...A SHEAR LINE EXTENDS
FROM 25N40W TO 31N22W THEN TRANSITIONS INTO A COLD FRONT AND
EXTENDS NE. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG THIS
BOUNDARY AT THIS TIME. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A MODERATE TO
FRESH ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS THE BASIN. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS FOR THE COLD FRONT TO ENTER THE W ATLANTIC ENHANCING
CONVECTION AND WINDS/SEAS. THE SHEAR LINE WILL DISSIPATE WHILE
THE SURFACE HIGH WILL DRIFT E.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

ERA
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net