[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 171136
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU OCT 17 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD NEAR OR
ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE
FOR SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...
OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5
DAYS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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