[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 171139
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER HONDURAS AND THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE.
ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...IT
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OVER BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
LATER TODAY...AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR SO.  HOWEVER... SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE IF THE
SYSTEM EMERGES OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE LATER ON TUESDAY OR
THEREAFTER. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  REGARDLESS
OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY OVER
PORTIONS OF HONDURAS...THE BAY ISLANDS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...AND
EASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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