[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMFL 251633
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE SANDY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1233 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...INCREASING WINDS AND RAIN AS SANDY MOVES OVER BAHAMAS...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED SITUATION OVERVIEW AND PROBABILITY AND WIND SECTIONS IN
THE SEGMENTS.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL BROWARD AND COASTAL MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE PALM BEACH TO MIAMI DADE COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING BISCAYNE BAY
AND ALSO FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND PALM
BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...COASTAL COLLIER...INLAND COLLIER...
INLAND BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...INLAND MIAMI DADE...METRO MIAMI
DADE...MAINLAND MONROE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE...POSSIBLE
IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS ARE STILL A CONCERN.

IN FACT...A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR METRO PALM BEACH...METRO
BROWARD...AND METRO MIAMI DADE COUNTIES FOR FREQUENT GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 35 MPH THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING AS SANDY PASSES TO THE EAST
OF SOUTH FLORIDA

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.4N...LONGITUDE 75.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 410 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH FL...OR ABOUT 390 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
FORT LAUDERDALE FL...OR ABOUT 380 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL.
STORM MOTION WAS N OR 360 DEGREES AT 16 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS
105 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE LATEST NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST SHOWS SANDY MOVING
THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST BAHAMAS AS A HURRICANE THROUGH
FRIDAY, WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN EXPECTED IMPACTS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA.

DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK, AS WINDS WILL INCREASE
THROUGH FRIDAY AS BANDS OF SHOWERS MOVE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL APPROACH THE
EAST COAST PARTICULARLY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING BEFORE THEY
BEGIN TO PULL AWAY FROM THE AREA. AS THEY DO SO THEY COULD
POTENTIALLY BRUSH THE COAST. EVEN IF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS DO NOT REACH THE COAST, OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT GUSTS
OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA COAST. THIS WILL LEAD TO POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS CONDITIONS
FOR OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES AND THEREFORE THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT.

IN ADDITION, DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND BEACH EROSION ARE EXPECTED
ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE
ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST ACROSS TRADITIONALLY COASTAL FLOOD PRONE
AREAS. THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF BISCAYNE BAY ARE PARTICULARLY MOST
VULNERABLE TO MINOR COASTAL FLOODING DUE TO PROLONGED ALONG SHORE
NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE BAY. THE GREATEST RISK OF THIS MINOR
FLOODING IS THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF FRIDAY BEFORE WINDS BEGIN TO
TURN OFFSHORE. OVERWASH OF BEACH ROADS IS POSSIBLE PARTICULARLY NEAR
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE WHICH ARE SHORTLY BEFORE SUNRISE.

SCATTERED AND FAST MOVING HEAVY SHOWERS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF SOUTH
FLORIDA TODAY, WITH RAIN BANDS FROM THE OUTER EDGE OF SANDY
POSSIBLY AFFECTING SOUTHEAST FLORIDA THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING IS A
POSSIBILITY IF BANDS PERSIST. HOWEVER, CHANGES IN THE FORECAST
COULD STILL RESULT IN A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THE FLOODING
POTENTIAL...SO RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION AS CONDITIONS EVOLVE THROUGH THE REMINDER OF THE WEEK.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD COMPLETE
PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE
FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL BEFORE LEAVING. BE
SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO
YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU
CAN ALSO GO TO READY.GOV, READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG,
FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND 6 PM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FLZ168-172-173-260045-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
1233 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS AROUND
10 PERCENT WHICH REPRESENTS LITTLE CHANGE FROM LAST ADVISORY BUT
AN OVERALL SLIGHT DOWNWARD TREND.

...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. HOWEVER...AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...
STRONGER WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. THEREFORE, A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN THE EFFECT FOR THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS COULD APPROACH TROPICAL STORM FORCE PARTICULARLY DURING THE
DAY ON FRIDAY INTO THE NIGHT WITH PALM BEACH COUNTY HAVING THE BEST
CHANCE OF EXPERIENCING THOSE CONDITIONS IF THEY MATERIALIZE.

GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE
MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO PORCHES... CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS LARGE
BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW ROOTED AND
DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT-WEIGHT OBJECTS
EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING
CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED
ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.

$$

AMZ630-650-651-670-671-260045-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
1233 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 32 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY
TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS COULD START AS EARLY AS LATE MORNING OR EARLY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
55 KNOTS WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING BY SATURDAY MORNING.

SEAS IN THE ATLANTIC ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO OVER 12 FEET IN THE GULF
STREAM TODAY...THEN TO OVER 20 FEET FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT
BEFORE SLOWLY SUBSIDING THROUGH THE WEEKEND BUT STILL REMAINING AT
OR ABOVE 10 FEET THROUGH LATE SUNDAY.

$$

AMZ610-260045-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-
1233 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS PARTICULARLY LATE FRIDAY THOUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING BY SATURDAY MORNING BUT SLOWLY.
HOWEVER...AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES... STRONGER WINDS ARE
STILL POSSIBLE. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.
$$

FLZ063-066>075-174-260045-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.S.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
1233 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...GUSTY WINDS AND INCREASING SHOWERS...

...WINDS...
WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY WITH GUSTS TO 30 TO
40 MPH, HIGHEST OVER METRO AREAS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA AS SHOWERS
MOVE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE AREA. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE EVEN
MORE LATE TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY ON FRIDAY AS HURRICANE SANDY
MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO SOUTH FLORIDA. GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED ON FRIDAY, HIGHEST OVER THE METRO AREAS OF SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR METRO MIAMI-DADE,
BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES.

THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW
TROPICAL STORM FORCE. AT THIS TIME...REMAIN CALM AND STAY INFORMED.

$$






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