[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Oct 25 11:05:54 CDT 2012


WTUS82 KJAX 251605
HLSJAX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE SANDY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1205 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...FRINGE EFFECTS EXPECTED FROM SANDY FOR NORTH FLORIDA AND
COASTAL SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...

.NEW INFORMATION...
GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
NASSAU...DUVAL...ST JOHNS AND FLAGLER.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.4N...LONGITUDE 75.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 660 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF JACKSONVILLE FL...OR ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF BRUNSWICK GA. STORM MOTION WAS N OR 360 DEGREES AT 16 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 105 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE SANDY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE HOWEVER IT
HAS A BROAD WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH IT. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
IS EXPECTED TO TIGHTEN BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR WEST AND SANDY
TO OUR EAST CAUSING AN INCREASE IN COASTAL AREA WINDS. CONDITIONS
WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO A VERY STRONG LOCAL NORTHEASTER WHICH WE
EXPERIENCE FREQUENTLY THIS TIME OF YEAR.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED. LOCALLY THIS
IS A VERY ACTIVE BOATING WEEKEND ALONG THE ST JOHNS RIVER AND
INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY. SMALL CRAFT WILL EXPERIENCE DANGEROUS
CONDITIONS ON THE RIVER WITH NORTHERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH AND
VERY ROUGH RIVER CONDITIONS. VESSELS ANCHORED IN EXPOSED COVES
COULD DRAG ANCHOR. THERE WILL BE EXTREMELY STRONG CURRENTS ON THE
RIVER DURING THE TIMES OF EBB AND FLOOD TIDES. ENSURE ANYONE ON
DECK IS WEARING A COAST GUARD APPROVED TYPE ONE LIFE JACKET.

WINDS WILL BE QUITE GUSTY FOR HIGH RISE STRUCTURES ALONG THE
BEACHES AND RIVER. OBJECTS WHICH MIGHT BE BLOWN AROUND SHOULD BE
SECURED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. DOWNTOWN OBJECTS IN THE TENTS AND RV
PARK THAT MIGHT BE BLOWN AROUND SHOULD BE SECURED AND EXTRA
TIE DOWNS WILL BE NECESSARY FOR TENTS AND CABANAS.

SUBSTANTIAL SURF ACTION AND BEACH EROSION ARE ALSO EXPECTED
OBJECTS EAST OF THE DUNE LINE SHOULD BE REMOVED TO A SAFE
LOCATION.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE AROUND 6 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FLZ024-025-033-038-260015-
/O.CON.KJAX.TR.A.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NASSAU-DUVAL-ST JOHNS-FLAGLER-
1205 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.
PREPARATIONS FOR THIS STORM SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS
TIME. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY PASSES NEARBY...THERE IS STILL SOME
POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SINCE THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.

TODAY AND TONIGHT...NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH AT TIMES. FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...VERY
WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS NORTHEAST TO NORTH WINDS
INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO UP TO 45 MPH. THE STRONGEST
WINDS WILL BE EXPERIENCED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE BEACHES...INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY AND ST JOHNS RIVER AREA.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BREAKERS IN THE SURF ZONE ARE EXPECTED TO
BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FEET THIS AFTERNOON...6 TO 8 FEET TONIGHT...AND INTO
THE 8 TO 12 FEET RANGE FROM FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. TIDAL
DEPARTURES WILL GENERALLY BE LESS THAN A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL
TODAY...1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ON FRIDAY...AND 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL BY THE SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE. THE COMBINATION OF
LARGE SURF AND ABOVE NORMAL TIDE WILL PROMOTE MODERATE TO POSSIBLY
SEVERE BEACH EROSION...ESPECIALLY DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.

$$

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-260015-
/O.CON.KJAX.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
1205 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH 300 TO 350 MILES
OFFSHORE...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
BEGIN LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 10 TO 15 FEET IN THE NEAR
SHORE WATERS AND WILL TOP OUT AROUND 20 FEET OVER THE OFFSHORE
WATERS.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF WATERSPOUTS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS IN
RAINBANDS.

$$

SANDRIK


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