[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Oct 3 15:34:13 CDT 2012


WTNT35 KNHC 032033
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152012
500 PM AST WED OCT 03 2012

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.6N 42.0W
ABOUT 1200 MI...1930 KM W OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.0 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22
KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
BY THURSDAY MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A NORTHEASTWARD ACCELERATION
THURSDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...BUT THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR ON
THURSDAY.  THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE INTO A TROUGH ON
FRIDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BERG


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