[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 271817
HLSTAE

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM BERYL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
217 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM BERYL STRONGER AND MOVING TOWARD NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

.NEW INFORMATION...
BERYL IS NOW A TROPICAL STORM WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65
MPH NEARING THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA AND THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND AS WELL AS THE ADJACENT WATERS OF APALACHEE BAY.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...POSSIBLE
IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS ARE BECOMING A CONCERN FOR THESE AREAS.

FOR AREAS OVER THE WATERS OF APALACHEE BAY...ALTHOUGH TROPICAL
CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT...POSSIBLE IMPACTS
FROM WINDS AND ELEVATED SEAS ARE BECOMING A CONCERN.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 260 MILES
EAST OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA...OR ABOUT 200 MILES EAST OF CROSS CITY
FLORIDA. STORM MOTION WAS WEST AT 10 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 65
MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK
OF BERYL AS THE AFFECTS OF THE STORM WILL LIKELY SPREAD MANY MILES
FROM THE CENTER OF THE STORM. BERYL WILL WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION EARLY ON MONDAY AFTER MAKING LANDFALL IN NORTHEAST
FLORIDA. WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA
BIG BEND. ALSO...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED IN MANY OF
THESE AREAS THROUGH TUESDAY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM BERYL BEING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...RESIDENTS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA BIG BEND SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER CLOSELY
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN A FLOOD
PRONE AREA. MINOR FLOODING OF ROADWAYS AS WELL AS FLOODING ALONG
CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS THAT RECEIVE THE
HEAVIEST RAINFALL. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS FLOODED ROADS.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AS CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FLZ019-028-029-034-128-134-GAZ128>131-147-148-159>161-280030-
/O.NEW.KTAE.HU.S.1002.120527T1817Z-000000T0000Z/
MADISON-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-COASTAL TAYLOR-
COASTAL DIXIE-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-COOK-BERRIEN-BROOKS-
LOWNDES-LANIER-
217 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED FROM BERYL...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS IN THE AREA ARE URGED TO STAY INFORMED OF THE LATEST
WEATHER FORECAST FOR BERYL THROUGHOUT THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT YOURSELF AND PROPERTY IF YOU
LIVE IN A FLOOD PRONE AREA SHOULD A FLOOD WARNING BE ISSUED.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A NEAR ZERO CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS
TIME. HOWEVER...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS AS
HIGH AS 46 PERCENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA AND
AROUND 35 PERCENT IN THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA BIG BEND.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BECOME NECESSARY FOR A
PORTION OF THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON. AS TROPICAL STORM BERYL
MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL LIKELY INCREASE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH BERYL WILL BE PRIMARILY DEPENDENT ON THE
EVENTUAL TRACK OF THE SYSTEM. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECASTS...STORM
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOUTH
CENTRAL GEORGIA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA BIG BEND WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS UP TO 6 INCHES. THIS RAINFALL COULD CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING IN POORLY DRAINING AREAS AS WELL AS RISES IN
AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS. A FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED LATER
THIS AFTERNOON.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES COULD BECOME POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON ONCE THE
CENTER OF BERYL MOVES CLOSER TO THE REGION.


$$

FLZ017-018-027-118-127-GAZ125>127-145-146-157-158-280030-
/O.NEW.KTAE.HU.S.1002.120527T1817Z-000000T0000Z/
LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-INLAND WAKULLA-COASTAL JEFFERSON-
COASTAL WAKULLA-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-GRADY-
THOMAS-
217 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE FROM BERYL...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS IN THE AREA ARE URGED TO STAY INFORMED OF THE LATEST
WEATHER FORECAST FOR BERYL THROUGHOUT THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT YOURSELF AND PROPERTY IF YOU
LIVE IN A FLOOD PRONE AREA SHOULD A FLOOD WARNING BE ISSUED.


&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE ZERO CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS. THE CHANCE FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE AROUND 30 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AT THIS TIME...THE ISSUANCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR
WARNINGS IS UNCERTAIN. AS TROPICAL STORM BERYL PASSES
NEARBY...WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A BRIEF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUST UP TO 40 MPH. THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR
THESE GUSTS WILL BE ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH BERYL ARE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF
THE SYSTEM. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECASTS, STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST
OF A LINE FROM SYLVESTER GEORGIA TO MONTICELLO FLORIDA. THIS
INCLUDES THE TALLAHASSEE AND ALBANY METRO AREAS.

$$

GMZ730-765-280030-
/O.NEW.KTAE.HU.S.1002.120527T1817Z-000000T0000Z/
APALACHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
217 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...GUSTY WINDS AND ELEVATED SEAS POSSIBLE FROM BERYL...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECASTS FOR
BERYL AND BE PREPARED TO HEAD INTO PORT SHOULD STRONGER WINDS AND
HIGHER SEAS MATERIALIZE.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS AROUND 20
PERCENT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AT THIS TIME...A FEW GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE COULD OCCUR ON
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AT THE VERY LEAST...WINDS OF 20 TO
25 KNOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF APALACHEE BAY ON MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEAS WILL ALSO BE ELEVATED MAKING
CONDITIONS DIFFICULT FOR SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS.

$$

GODSEY



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