[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KJAX 262206
HLSJAX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
606 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

.NEW INFORMATION...
A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA THROUGH TUESDAY.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED
ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND
COASTAL WATER LEGS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
NASSAU...DUVAL...ST JOHNS...FLAGLER...INLAND GLYNN...COASTAL
GLYNN...INLAND CAMDEN AND COASTAL CAMDEN.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
BAKER...UNION...BRADFORD...CLAY...PUTNAM...BACON...APPLING...
WAYNE...WARE...PIERCE...BRANTLEY...CLINCH AND CHARLTON.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...HAMILTON...SUWANNEE...COLUMBIA...
GILCHRIST...ALACHUA...MARION...COFFEE...JEFF DAVIS...ATKINSON AND
ECHOLS...POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS ARE STILL A
CONCERN.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS
THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.5N...LONGITUDE 76.6W. THIS WAS ABOUT 300 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF JACKSONVILLE FL...OR ABOUT 280 MILES EAST OF
BRUNSWICK GA. STORM MOTION WAS SW OR 225 DEGREES AT 6 MPH. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 45 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
SUB-TROPICAL STORM BERYL IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWEST AND ON
THIS TRACK WOULD APPROACH THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA COAST SUNDAY NIGHT. WINDS AND RAIN WILL INCREASE ACROSS
THE WARNING AREA BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE
TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE AROUND 9 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FLZ024-025-033-038-GAZ153-154-165-166-272215-
/O.CON.KJAX.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NASSAU-DUVAL-ST JOHNS-FLAGLER-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-
INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
606 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. THOSE IN FLOOD
PRONE AREAS SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF PERIODS
OF FLOODING RAINFALL SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. ALSO...THE
CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 55 PERCENT.
THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE
ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.

...WINDS...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY MIDDAY SUNDAY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE
WITH GUSTS AROUND 55 MPH.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO SOME MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS. OTHER
HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR
ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW
POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER
OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN
INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
WATERS UP TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO
THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 1 TO
3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

THE NEXT TIME OF HIGH TIDE AT SAINT SIMONS ISLAND WILL BE TONIGHT
AT 1:14 AM. THE TIME OF THE HIGH TIDE AT MAYPORT WILL BE AT 12:51
AM TONIGHT.

THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST COASTAL FLOODING
INCLUDE WILL BE ALONG THE BEACHES AND INTRACOASTAL WATERWAYS AS
WELL AS ESTUARIES AND INLETS. THIS MAY BEGIN BY EARLY SUNDAY AND
CONTINUE INTO MONDAY.

MODERATE BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR...WHICH WILL BECOME SUBSTANTIAL IF
CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDES. SEVERAL ROADS IN
FLOOD- PRONE AREAS MAY BE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING. IN ADDITION...STRONG
RIP CURRENTS AND ELEVATED SURF CONDITION WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF 3
TO 6 INCHES...POSSIBLY HIGHER IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS. RAINBANDS WILL
BEGIN TO MOVE INLAND DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY DUE TO THE STORM
SLOWING DOWN ONCE IT MAKES LANDFALL AND STALLING OVER THE AREA. A
FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF STATE
ROAD 16 IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA AS WELL AS ALL OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

...TORNADOES...
THERE WILL BE A LOW CHANCE OF WATERSPOUTS AND TORNADOES SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT AS RAINBANDS MOVE INLAND.

$$

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-272215-
/O.CON.KJAX.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
606 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. ALSO...THE
CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 65 PERCENT.
THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
55 KNOTS. SEAS OF 10 TO 15 FEET NEARSHORE...AND 14 TO 22 FEET
OFFSHORE WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...WATERSPOUTS...
THERE WILL BE A LOW CHANCE OF WATERSPOUTS SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
AS RAINBANDS MOVE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS.

$$

FLZ023-030>032-037-GAZ134>136-150>152-163-164-272215-
/O.CON.KJAX.TR.A.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BAKER-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-PUTNAM-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-WARE-PIERCE-
BRANTLEY-CLINCH-CHARLTON-
606 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE CONDITIONS
DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. HEED THE
ADVICE OF LOCALLY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS. THOSE IN FLOOD
PRONE AREAS SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF PERIODS
OF FLOODING RAINFALL SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. ALSO...THE
CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 51 PERCENT.
THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE
ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR SUSTAINED WINDS
TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF 3 TO
5 INCHES...POSSIBLY HIGHER IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS. RAINBANDS WILL BEGIN
TO MOVE INLAND DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY DUE TO THE STORM SLOWING DOWN
ONCE IT MAKES LANDFALL AND STALLING OVER THE AREA. A FLOOD WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF STATE ROAD 16 IN NORTHEAST
FLORIDA AS WELL AS ALL OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

$$

FLZ020>022-035-036-040-GAZ132-133-149-162-272215-
/O.CON.KJAX.HU.S.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-MARION-COFFEE-
JEFF DAVIS-ATKINSON-ECHOLS-
606 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF PERIODS OF FLOODING RAINFALL SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THIS OPPORTUNITY TO REVIEW YOUR HURRICANE
DISASTER PLAN. IF YOU DO NOT HAVE A PLAN...MAKE ONE. IF YOU NEED
ASSISTANCE WITH YOUR PLAN...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR AMERICAN RED CROSS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
AS CURRENTLY ASSESSED...THE ONSET OF EITHER TROPICAL STORM OR
HURRICANE CONDITIONS IS UNLIKELY TO OCCUR.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY NOT IN
EFFECT...NOR ARE THEY LIKELY UNDER PRESENT CIRCUMSTANCES.

THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL
STORM FORCE. AT THIS TIME...REMAIN CALM AND STAY INFORMED.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF 2 TO
4 INCHES...POSSIBLY HIGHER IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS. RAINBANDS WILL BEGIN
TO MOVE INLAND DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY DUE TO THE STORM SLOWING DOWN
ONCE IT MAKES LANDFALL AND STALLING OVER THE AREA. A FLOOD WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF STATE ROAD 16 IN NORTHEAST
FLORIDA AS WELL AS ALL OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

$$

ENYEDI




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