[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KCHS 262159
HLSCHS

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
559 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...BERYL CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE
COAST...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED LOCATION AND ENHANCED WORDING FOR OVERALL INLAND FLOOD
THREAT.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
INLAND BRYAN...COASTAL BRYAN...INLAND CHATHAM...COASTAL CHATHAM...
LONG...INLAND LIBERTY...COASTAL LIBERTY...INLAND MCINTOSH...
COASTAL MCINTOSH...INLAND JASPER...BEAUFORT...COASTAL COLLETON
AND COASTAL JASPER.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
INLAND BERKELEY...CHARLESTON AND TIDAL BERKELEY.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.5N...LONGITUDE 76.6W. THIS WAS ABOUT 210 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SC...OR ABOUT 260 MILES EAST OF
SAVANNAH GA. STORM MOTION WAS SW OR 225 DEGREES AT 6 MPH. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 45 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
SUBTROPICAL BERYL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD
THROUGH SUNDAY...THEN TURN WESTWARD BEFORE LANDFALL NEAR THE
BORDER OF GEORGIA AND FLORIDA SUNDAY NIGHT. SINCE THE SYSTEM IN
ENCOUNTERING DRY AIR AND IS STILL INTERACTING WITH LOW PRESSURE IN
THE MID AND UPPER ATMOSPHERE...LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
EXPECTED INTO EARLY TONIGHT. HOWEVER...SOME MINOR STRENGTHENING IS
EXPECTED BEFORE BERYL REACHES THE COAST NEAR JACKSONVILLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

AS THE STORM GETS CLOSER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...WINDS WILL INCREASE
AND EVENTUALLY APPROACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH LATE TONIGHT IN
AREAS SOUTH OF CHARLESTON AND DURING THE DAY SUNDAY IN THE
PORTIONS OF GEORGIA UNDER THE WARNING. AT THIS TIME...ONLY MINOR
WIND IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED...WITH SOME DOWNED TREES OR TREE LIMBS
AND ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE
STORM. WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

THE INLAND FLOODING THREAT IS LOW THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
HOWEVER...DUE TO THE EXPECTED SLOW TRACK OF BERYL OR ITS REMNANTS
AFTER LANDFALL...AND EXTENDED PERIOD OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE FROM
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY THROUGHOUT SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA
AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. THIS COULD POTENTIALLY CAUSE SOME ISOLATED
FLOODING PROBLEMS BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY. STILL...WIDESPREAD
FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME DUE TO THE DRY CONDITIONS
THAT CURRENTLY EXIST IN THE AREA.


.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

FOR THOSE LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS...KEEP AWARE OF THE LATEST
FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF FLOOD WARNINGS ARE
EVENTUALLY ISSUED EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR YOU LOCATION.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN CHARLESTON AROUND 9 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

SCZ045-050-052-272200-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.A.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND BERKELEY-CHARLESTON-TIDAL BERKELEY-
559 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM TIDE IMPACTS WILL BE LOW. THE MAIN ISSUE ALONG THE COAST
WILL BE SOME BEACH EROSION DUE TO HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES AND
INCREASINGLY ROUGH SURF ON SUNDAY. NO INUNDATION OF COASTAL
STRUCTURES IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

SCZ047>049-051-272200-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND JASPER-BEAUFORT-COASTAL COLLETON-COASTAL JASPER-
559 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
37 TO 47 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THERE MAY BE SOME MINOR IMPACTS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDES TONIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. THE MAIN IMPACT WILL BE SOME BEACH EROSION
FROM A COMBINATION OF HIGHER TIDES AND ROUGH SURF...ALONG WITH
SOME WATER POSSIBLY ON SMALL BEACH ACCESS ROADS. NO SIGNIFICANT
INUNDATION OF COASTAL RESIDENCES AND BUSINESSES IS EXPECTED AT
THIS TIME.

$$

GAZ116>119-137>141-272200-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND BRYAN-COASTAL BRYAN-INLAND CHATHAM-COASTAL CHATHAM-LONG-
INLAND LIBERTY-COASTAL LIBERTY-INLAND MCINTOSH-COASTAL MCINTOSH-
559 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 53 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AT THIS TIME...STORM TIDE IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOW. TIDES
ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT THE TIMES OF
HIGH TIDE SUNDAY...BUT SINCE WE ARE AT A RELATIVE LOW POINT IN THE
ASTRONOMICAL TIDE CYCLE...IMPACTS SHOULD BE RELEGATED TO SHORELINE
AND BEACH EROSION. A FEW COASTAL ROADS MAY HAVE SOME WATER ON
THEM AT HIGH TIDES AROUND MID DAY SUNDAY AND AGAIN SUNDAY
NIGHT...BUT MAJOR ARTERIES...SUCH AS ROUTE 80 BETWEEN WILMINGTON
ISLAND AND TYBEE ISLAND...ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE ENTIRELY UNDER
WATER BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK OF BERYL. ALSO...SIGNIFICANT
INUNDATION OF STRUCTURES IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DESPITE THIS...PEOPLE WHO LIVE IN COASTAL FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS
ARE URGED TO KEEP AWARE OF THE LATEST FORECAST FOR BERYL AS ANY
CHANGES IN TRACK OR INCREASES IN INTENSITY COULD CAUSE A MORE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING PROBLEM.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT IN
BANDS MOVING ONSHORE ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE TRACK OF BERYL.

$$

AMZ330-272200-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.A.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CHARLESTON HARBOR-
559 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL PASSES NEARBY...THE THREAT FOR
SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS SHOULD NOT INCREASE. HOWEVER...THERE IS
STILL SOME POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SINCE
THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.


$$

AMZ350-352-272200-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM-
559 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 8 TO 10 FEET TONIGHT AND
REMAIN THERE INTO SUNDAY MORNING...BEFORE SLOWLY SUBSIDING.

$$

AMZ354-374-272200-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT
20 NM...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
559 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
45 KNOTS. SEAS WILL BE INCREASING TO 9 TO 12 FEET WITHIN 20
MILES OF THE COAST AND 12 TO 18 FEET FROM 20 TO 60 MILES OFFSHORE
ON SUNDAY.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT IN BANDS
ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE TRACK OF BERYL.

$$






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