[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KJAX 261909
HLSJAX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
309 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...BERYL STALLS OFF THE COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES...

.NEW INFORMATION...
THERE ARE NO NEW WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
NASSAU...DUVAL...ST JOHNS...FLAGLER...INLAND GLYNN...COASTAL
GLYNN...INLAND CAMDEN AND COASTAL CAMDEN.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
BAKER...UNION...BRADFORD...CLAY...PUTNAM...BACON...APPLING...
WAYNE...WARE...PIERCE...BRANTLEY...CLINCH AND CHARLTON.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...HAMILTON...SUWANNEE...COLUMBIA...
GILCHRIST...ALACHUA...MARION...COFFEE...JEFF DAVIS...ATKINSON AND
ECHOLS...POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS ARE STILL A
CONCERN.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.6N...LONGITUDE 76.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 310 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF JACKSONVILLE FL...OR ABOUT 300 MILES EAST OF
BRUNSWICK GA. STORM MOTION WAS SW OR 230 DEGREES AT 6 MPH. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 45 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
SUB-TROPICAL STORM BERYL IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWEST AND ON
THIS TRACK WOULD APPROACH THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA COAST SUNDAY NIGHT. WINDS AND RAIN WILL INCREASE ACROSS
THE WARNING AREA BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE
TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE AROUND 6 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FLZ024-025-033-038-GAZ153-154-165-166-271915-
/O.CON.KJAX.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NASSAU-DUVAL-ST JOHNS-FLAGLER-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-
INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
309 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 55 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD
START MIDDAY SUNDAY.

...WINDS...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS AROUND
55 MPH. MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO SOME MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS. OTHER
HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS
WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES
WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE
BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN
INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
WATERS UP TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO
THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 1 TO 3
FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST COASTAL FLOODING INCLUDE
WILL BE ALONG THE BEACHES AND INTRACOASTAL WATERWAYS AS WELL AS ESTUARIES
AND INLETS. THIS MAY BEGIN BY EARLY SUNDAY AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY.

MODERATE BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR...WHICH MAY BECOME SUBSTANTIAL IF
CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDES. SEVERAL ROADS IN
FLOOD- PRONE AREAS MAY BE CLOSED. IN ADDITION...STRONG RIP CURRENTS
AND ELEVATED SURF CONDITION WILL LIKELY OCCUR TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF
2 TO 4 INCHES...POSSIBLY HIGHER IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS.

...TORNADOES...
THERE WILL BE A LOW CHANCE OF WATERSPOUTS AND TORNADOES SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT AS RAINBANDS MOVE INLAND.

$$

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-271915-
/O.CON.KJAX.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
309 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. ALSO...THE
CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 65 PERCENT.
THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 55
KNOTS. SEAS OF 10 TO 15 FEET NEARSHORE...AND 14 TO 22 FEET OFFSHORE
WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...WATERSPOUTS...
THERE WILL BE A LOW CHANCE OF WATERSPOUTS SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
AS RAINBANDS MOVE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS.

$$

FLZ023-030>032-037-GAZ134>136-150>152-163-164-271915-
/O.CON.KJAX.TR.A.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BAKER-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-PUTNAM-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-WARE-PIERCE-
BRANTLEY-CLINCH-CHARLTON-
309 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE
BLOWN AROUND. STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A
MOBILE HOME...AND DO SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 51 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.

...WINDS...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR
SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST
IS FOR SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF
2 TO 4 INCHES...POSSIBLY HIGHER IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS.

$$

FLZ020>022-035-036-040-GAZ132-133-149-162-271915-
/O.CON.KJAX.HU.S.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-MARION-COFFEE-
JEFF DAVIS-ATKINSON-ECHOLS-
309 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THIS OPPORTUNITY TO REVIEW YOUR HURRICANE
DISASTER PLAN. IF YOU DO NOT HAVE A PLAN...MAKE ONE. IF YOU NEED
ASSISTANCE WITH YOUR PLAN...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR AMERICAN RED CROSS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
AS CURRENTLY ASSESSED...THE ONSET OF EITHER TROPICAL STORM OR
HURRICANE CONDITIONS IS UNLIKELY TO OCCUR.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY NOT IN
EFFECT...NOR ARE THEY LIKELY UNDER PRESENT CIRCUMSTANCES.

THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM
FORCE. AT THIS TIME...REMAIN CALM AND STAY INFORMED.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF
1 TO 3 INCHES...POSSIBLY HIGHER IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS.

$$

ENYEDI




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