[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat May 26 13:49:41 CDT 2012


WTUS82 KCHS 261849
HLSCHS

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
249 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...BERYL MOVING VERY SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED LOCATION INFORMATION.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
INLAND BRYAN...COASTAL BRYAN...INLAND CHATHAM...COASTAL CHATHAM...
LONG...INLAND LIBERTY...COASTAL LIBERTY...INLAND MCINTOSH...
COASTAL MCINTOSH...INLAND JASPER...BEAUFORT...COASTAL COLLETON
AND COASTAL JASPER.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
INLAND BERKELEY...CHARLESTON AND TIDAL BERKELEY.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.6N...LONGITUDE 76.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 230 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SC...OR ABOUT 280 MILES EAST OF
SAVANNAH GA. STORM MOTION WAS SW OR 230 DEGREES AT 6 MPH. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 45 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...

SUBTROPICAL BERYL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD
THROUGH SUNDAY...THEN TURN WESTWARD BEFORE LANDFALL NEAR THE
BORDER OF GEORGIA AND FLORIDA SUNDAY NIGHT. SINCE THE SYSTEM IN
ENCOUNTERING DRY AIR AND IS STILL INTERACTING WITH LOW PRESSURE IN
THE MID AND UPPER ATMOSPHERE...LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
EXPECTED INTO EARLY TONIGHT.

AS THE STORM GETS CLOSER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...WIND WILL INCREASE
AND EVENTUALLY APPROACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH LATE TONIGHT IN
AREAS SOUTH OF CHARLESTON AND DURING THE DAY SUNDAY IN THE
PORTIONS OF GEORGIA UNDER THE WARNING. AT THIS TIME...ONLY MINOR
WIND IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED...WITH SOME DOWNED TREES OR TREE LIMBS
AND ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE
STORM. WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

THE INLAND FLOODING THREAT IS LOW THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
HOWEVER...IF THE STORM STALLS OVER SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND THEN MOVES
SLOWLY UP THE COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK...FLOODING MAY BECOME A MORE
SIGNIFICANT THREAT.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN CHARLESTON AROUND 6 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

SCZ045-050-052-271900-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.A.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND BERKELEY-CHARLESTON-TIDAL BERKELEY-
249 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL PASSES NEARBY...THE THREAT FOR
SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS SHOULD NOT INCREASE. HOWEVER...THERE IS
STILL SOME POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AT THE
COAST LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. SINCE THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THIS AFTERNOON AND A HIGH
RISK OF RIP CURRENTS SUNDAY. THIS COULD BE THE MOST DANGEROUS PART
OF THE STORM FOR RESIDENTS OF CHARLESTON COUNTY. ALL BEACHGOERS
ARE URGED TO USE EXTREME CAUTION IF ENTERING THE WATER AT THE
COAST THIS WEEKEND...AND ALWAYS LISTEN TO ORDERS BY LIFEGUARDS
WHOSE JOB IT IS TO KEEP YOU SAFE.

$$

SCZ047>049-051-271900-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND JASPER-BEAUFORT-COASTAL COLLETON-COASTAL JASPER-
249 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
37 TO 47 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THERE MAY BE SOME MINOR IMPACTS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDES TONIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. THE MAIN IMPACT WILL BE SOME BEACH EROSION
FROM A COMBINATION OF HIGHER TIDES AND ROUGH SURF. NO SIGNIFICANT
INUNDATION OF COASTAL RESIDENCES AND BUSINESSES IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A VERY SMALL CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY NIGHT

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THIS AFTERNOON AND A HIGH
RISK OF RIP CURRENTS SUNDAY. ALL BEACHGOERS ARE URGED TO USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF ENTERING THE WATER AT THE COAST THIS
WEEKEND...AND ALWAYS LISTEN TO ORDERS BY LIFEGUARDS WHOSE JOB IT
IS TO KEEP YOU SAFE.

$$

GAZ116>119-137>141-271900-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND BRYAN-COASTAL BRYAN-INLAND CHATHAM-COASTAL CHATHAM-LONG-
INLAND LIBERTY-COASTAL LIBERTY-INLAND MCINTOSH-COASTAL MCINTOSH-
249 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 53 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AT THIS TIME...STORM TIDE IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOW. TIDES
ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT THE TIMES OF
HIGH TIDE SUNDAY...BUT SINCE WE ARE AT A RELATIVE LOW POINT IN THE
ASTRONOMICAL TIDE CYCLE...IMPACTS SHOULD BE RELEGATED TO SHORELINE
AND BEACH EROSION. A FEW COASTAL ROADS MAY HAVE SOME WATER ON
THEM AT HIGH TIDES AROUND MID DAY SUNDAY AND AGAIN SUNDAY
NIGHT...BUT MAJOR ARTERIES...SUCH AS ROUTE 80 BETWEEN WILMINGTON
ISLAND AND TYBEE ISLAND...ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE ENTIRELY UNDER
WATER BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK OF BERYL. ALSO...SIGNIFICANT
INUNDATION OF STRUCTURES IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DESPITE THIS...PEOPLE WHO LIVE IN COASTAL FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS
ARE URGED TO KEEP AWARE OF THE LATEST FORECAST FOR BERYL AS ANY
CHANGES IN TRACK OR INCREASES IN INTENSITY COULD CAUSE A MORE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING PROBLEM.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT IN
BANDS MOVING ONSHORE ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE TRACK OF BERYL.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THIS WEEKEND. AT LEAST 20
RESCUES HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTED AT TYBEE ISLAND. ALL BEACHGOERS
SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF ENTERING THE WATER. ALWAYS LISTEN TO
ORDERS BY LIFEGUARDS WHOSE JOB IT IS TO KEEP YOU SAFE.

$$

AMZ330-271900-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.A.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CHARLESTON HARBOR-
249 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR
SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST
IS FOR WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE...ALTHOUGH A
GUST TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY.


$$

AMZ350-352-271900-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM-
249 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOT RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS BEYOND 10 MILES OFF THE COAST. SEAS WILL BUILD
AS HIGH AS 8 TO 10 FEET SUNDAY AND INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

$$

AMZ354-374-271900-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT
20 NM...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
249 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS
TO 50 KNOTS. SEAS WILL BE INCREASING TO 9 TO 12 FEET WITHIN 20
MILES OF THE COAST AND 12 TO 18 FEET FROM 20 TO 60 MILES OFFSHORE
ON SUNDAY.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT IN BANDS
ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE TRACK OF BERYL.

$$






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