[Tropical] Tropical Weather Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

AXNT20 KNHC 011154
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 AM EST WED FEB 01 2012

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1045 UTC.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL LIBERIA NEAR 6N11W
TO 4N20W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 4N20W TO 2N24W 2N38W...
CROSSING THE EQUATOR ALONG 46W...INTO EXTREME NORTHEASTERN
BRAZIL NEAR 1S50W. ISOLATED MODERATE RAINSHOWERS ARE TO THE
SOUTH OF 10N TO THE EAST OF 60W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...
UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.
A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N74W...ACROSS FLORIDA TO
28N88W IN THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO THE MIDDLE TEXAS GULF COAST.
A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 96W FROM 18N TO 24N. RAINSHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE FROM 20N TO 28N BETWEEN 92W AND THE MEXICO/TEXAS
COASTS. AREAS OF DENSE FOG ARE BEING REPORTED IN THE COASTAL
WATERS TO THE NORTH OF 25N TO THE WEST OF 90W...AND BETWEEN 85W
AND 90W. EXPECT SCATTERED MODERATE RAINSHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THIS AREA ALSO TODAY.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
BROAD UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW SPANS THE AREA.
GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE OBSERVED AND FORECAST FROM 11N TO 13N
BETWEEN 74W AND 77W IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF COLOMBIA.
SEA HEIGHTS RANGE FROM 10 TO 15 FT. THESE CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A COLD FRONT ENDS AND A STATIONARY FRONT STARTS NEAR 32N48W.
THE STATIONARY FRONT CONTINUES FROM 32N48W TO 27N67W. THE
STATIONARY FRONT DISSIPATES FROM 27N67W TO ANDROS ISLAND IN
THE BAHAMAS. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN BROKEN MULTILAYERED
CLOUDS WITHIN 75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES
THROUGH 32N45W 29N55W 29N64W 24N80W. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
PASSES THROUGH 32N14W TO 23N28W 5N51W. NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS APPARENT SOLELY BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT








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