[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Sat Aug 25 04:10:33 CDT 2012

WTUS82 KMFL 250910
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
510 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND HURRICANE
WATCH FOR MIAMI METRO AND COASTAL...

.NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE WARNING SOUTHWEST COAST. HURRICANE WATCH METRO AND
COASTAL MIAMI METRO.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
COASTAL COLLIER...MAINLAND MONROE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE LOCAL GULF WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INLAND MIAMI DADE...METRO MIAMI DADE
AND COASTAL MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH
AND BISCAYNE BAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...INLAND
COLLIER...INLAND BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...INLAND MIAMI DADE...
METRO MIAMI DADE...COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL BROWARD AND
COASTAL MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
INLAND MIAMI DADE...METRO MIAMI DADE AND COASTAL MIAMI DADE.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.0N...LONGITUDE 73.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 640 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 730 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES
FL. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY
WAS 60 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. TO
DO SO COULD RESULT IN BAD DECISIONS AND PLACE YOU OR THOSE YOU ARE
RESPONSIBLE FOR AT GREATER RISK. IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE
SPECIFIC WIND AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES.

A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE MAINLY FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ALONG THE GULF COAST AND METRO MIAMI.

THERE IS ALSO THE CONCERN FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY AS THE
SYSTEM APPROACHES AND MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. A FLOOD WATCH WILL
LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA LATER THIS MORNING.

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH
FLORIDA, REGARDLESS OF STORM INTENSITY.

MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE GULF COAST. MODERATE
COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG BISCAYNE BAY AND THE SOUTH
COAST. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE PALM BEACH AND
BROWARD COAST.

THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE HIGH ALONG THE
ATLANTIC BEACHES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS ARE LIKELY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS... OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD
COMPLETE PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL
BEFORE LEAVING. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE
OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO
YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU
CAN ALSO GO TO READY.GOV, READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG,
FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND SHORTLY...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FLZ069-075-174-260915-
/O.UPG.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMFL.HU.W.1009.120825T0910Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL COLLIER-MAINLAND MONROE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
510 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...

$$

FLZ073-074-173-260915-
/O.NEW.KMFL.HU.A.1009.120825T0910Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
510 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 65 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
65 MPH.

GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE
MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND
DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE
HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE
TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH
SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND
UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING
DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON
BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS.
THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES...
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN
INCREASING CHANCE FOR MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE INUNDATION ALONG
THE ATLANTIC COAST. THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE LOCATIONS WILL BE ALONG
BISCAYNE BAY WITH INUNDATION OF 2 TO 3 FEET POSSIBLE. ACROSS THE
REST OF THE ATLANTIC COAST...INUNDATION OF UP TO 1 FEET IS
POSSIBLE GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY.

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MINOR TO LOCALLY
MODERATE COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED...
EXPECT PARTIAL INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE...ESPECIALLY FOR
LOW-LYING AREAS. MODERATE TO LOCALLY MAJOR BEACH EROSION. VERY
HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS...MAINLY IN
HISTORICALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. DESCRIPTIONS ARE CONSISTENT WITH
DAMAGE CAUSED BY COASTAL FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET IN DEPTH (ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL) IN HARDEST HIT PLACES.

IF REALIZED...PEOPLE WITHIN THE THREATENED AREAS WHO FAILED TO
FOLLOW RECOMMENDATIONS FROM EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS WILL
HAVE NEEDLESSLY PLACED THEMSELVES AT SOME MEASURE OF RISK.

$$

FLZ063-066>068-070>072-168-172-260915-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
510 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 63 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
65 MPH.

GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE
MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND
DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE
HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE
TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH
SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND
UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING
DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON
BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS.
THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES...
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN
INCREASING CHANCE FOR MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE INUNDATION ALONG
THE ATLANTIC COAST. THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE LOCATIONS WILL BE ALONG
BISCAYNE BAY WITH INUNDATION OF 2 TO 3 FEET POSSIBLE. ACROSS THE
REST OF THE ATLANTIC COAST...INUNDATION OF UP TO 1 FEET IS
POSSIBLE GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY.

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MINOR TO LOCALLY
MODERATE COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED...
EXPECT PARTIAL INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE...ESPECIALLY FOR
LOW-LYING AREAS. MODERATE TO LOCALLY MAJOR BEACH EROSION. VERY
HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS...MAINLY IN
HISTORICALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. DESCRIPTIONS ARE CONSISTENT WITH
DAMAGE CAUSED BY COASTAL FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET IN DEPTH (ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL) IN HARDEST HIT PLACES.

IF REALIZED...PEOPLE WITHIN THE THREATENED AREAS WHO FAILED TO
FOLLOW RECOMMENDATIONS FROM EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS WILL
HAVE NEEDLESSLY PLACED THEMSELVES AT SOME MEASURE OF RISK.

$$

GMZ656-657-676-260915-
/O.UPG.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMFL.HU.W.1009.120825T0910Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
510 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...

$$

AMZ630-651-671-260915-
/O.NEW.KMFL.HU.A.1009.120825T0910Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
510 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 65 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS
TO 60 KNOTS.

SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD OVER 12 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

AMZ650-670-260915-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
510 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 38 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS
TO 60 KNOTS.

SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD OVER 12 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

AMZ610-260915-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-
510 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
33 TO 42 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS
TO 50 KNOTS.

$$

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