[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 211818
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
218 PM AST TUE AUG 21 2012

...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT APPROACHING THE
DEPRESSION...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED THE STORM INFORMATION SECTION. UPWARD TREND IN THE
PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL
OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.3N...LONGITUDE 53.2W. THIS WAS ABOUT 870 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR...OR ABOUT 800 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF SAINT THOMAS VI. STORM MOTION WAS W OR 270 DEGREES AT 18 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 35 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
AIRCRAFT IS APPROACHING THE DEPRESSION AND WILL BE INVESTIGATING TO
PROVIDE EXACT LOCATION AND MORE ACCURATE WIND INFORMATION. A GENERAL
CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF WIDESPREAD DAMAGE DUE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL AND WINDS WITHIN PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED
THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE
ISSUED.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED
THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE
IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 6 PM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-741-742-745-PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-
221830-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
218 PM AST TUE AUG 21 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO
SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 13 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 65 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR
SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST
IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON
TO THURSDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGH SEAS BUILDING BETWEEN 12 AND 18
FEET LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAIN BANDS WITH EMBEDDED TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS ASSOCIATED WITH
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS ON WEDNESDAY...AND PUERTO RICO LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. THESE RAINBANDS WILL GENERATE ENOUGH RUNOFF TO CAUSE
SIGNIFICANT RIVER RISES ON AREA RIVERS...STREAMS AND GUTS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS AVERAGING THREE INCHES WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER
AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ISLANDS.
MUDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOW ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP
TERRAIN.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE. MUCH
DEPENDS ON THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM
AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED TORNADOES OR WATERSPOUTS WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS...AS THE CENTER
OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA AND THEN PASSES
CLOSE TO PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. REMEMBER...TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP
MANY MILES AWAY FROM THE TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.

$$







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