[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Aug 17 00:40:35 CDT 2012


ABNT20 KNHC 170540
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI AUG 17 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM GORDON...LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 1315
MILES WEST OF THE AZORES.

THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN CONTINUE TO SHOW SOME
SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION IN THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO IF THE LOW STAYS OFFSHORE.  THIS SYSTEM
HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO
NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 10 MPH. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE LOW THIS AFTERNOON...IF
NECESSARY.

A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA IS PRODUCING AN AREA
OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FAR EASTERN
ATLANTIC OCEAN.  SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

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