[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 222032
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 PM AST THU SEP 22 2011

...OPHELIA REMAINS DISORGANIZED...LIKELY TO WEAKEN SOON...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.8N 48.9W
ABOUT 890 MI...1430 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.9 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY FRIDAY FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS DISORGANIZED...AND STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO CAUSE SOME WEAKENING DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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