[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 281155
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM RINA...LOCATED ABOUT 20 MILES NORTH OF CANCUN MEXICO.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
DISTURBANCE...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT DRIFTS
NORTHWESTWARD.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC ABOUT 850 MILES
WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A SMALL AREA
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WHILE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT PRESSURES ARE CURRENTLY
HIGH IN THE AREA.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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