[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KPHI 280951
HLSPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
551 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...HURRICANE IRENE WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
TODAY...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM LOCATION.

THE STATUS OF THE MARYLAND COUNTIES OF TALBOT AND CAROLINE HAS BEEN
CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

THE STORM SURGE INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA...NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE AND NORTHEASTERN
MARYLAND...AS WELL AS ON THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND
DELAWARE AND ON DELAWARE BAY.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...NEW
CASTLE...KENT...INLAND SUSSEX...DELAWARE BEACHES...MIDDLESEX...
WESTERN MONMOUTH...EASTERN MONMOUTH...SALEM...GLOUCESTER...
CAMDEN...NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON...OCEAN...CUMBERLAND...
ATLANTIC...CAPE MAY...ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY...COASTAL
ATLANTIC...COASTAL OCEAN...SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON...DELAWARE AND
PHILADELPHIA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF
NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...TALBOT...CAROLINE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
CECIL...KENT MD...QUEEN ANNES...SUSSEX...WARREN...MORRIS...
HUNTERDON...SOMERSET...MERCER...CARBON...MONROE...BERKS...
LEHIGH...NORTHAMPTON...CHESTER...MONTGOMERY AND BUCKS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF PHILADELPHIA QUAD STATE
REGION. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT
BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 39.2N...LONGITUDE 74.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 10 MILES SOUTH
OF ATLANTIC CITY NJ...OR ABOUT 50 MILES EAST OF DOVER DE. STORM
MOTION WAS NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 18 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS
75 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE IRENE IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWARD PARALLEL TO THE
COAST...WITH THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING VERY CLOSE TO
THE NEW JERSEY COAST THIS MORNING. THE STORM WILL BRING DAMAGING
WINDS...TORRENTIAL RAIN WITH DANGEROUS FLOODING...AND COASTAL
FLOODING.

OVERALL...A TOTAL 6 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 14 INCHES. HEAVY AND POSSIBLY RECORD
SETTING RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH TODAY WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MAJOR
FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW JERSEY...EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA...DELAWARE AND NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND. SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS ARE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING. THE RARITAN
AND SCHUYLKILL RIVERS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO REACT RATHER QUICKLY
AND ARE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING. THE DELAWARE AND PASSAIC
RIVERS REACT MORE SLOWLY. HOWEVER...THEY ALSO ARE HIGHLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING FROM THIS RAINFALL EVENT.

FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF THE REGION...WITH
MANY LOCATIONS FORECAST TO EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING.

WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK
OF THE HURRICANE...AS IRENE IS A LARGE STORM. THIS IS A DANGEROUS
SITUATION. REMAIN IN A SAFE LOCATION UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR CAPE MAY COUNTY...NEW
JERSEY.

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR FLOOD PRONE AREAS OF
ATLANTIC COUNTY...NEW JERSEY.

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR LONG BEACH ISLAND IN OCEAN
COUNTY...NEW JERSEY.

VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR BERKELEY TOWNSHIP IN
OCEAN COUNTY...NEW JERSEY.

MAJOR TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS IN NEW JERSEY AND PENNSYLVANIA HAVE
SUSPENDED OPERATIONS. A NUMBER OF BRIDGES ARE CLOSED. PLEASE
MONITOR MEDIA BROADCASTS REGARDING THE STATUS OF
EVACUATIONS...TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS AND SHELTERS.

IT IS IMPERATIVE THAT RESIDENTS AND VISITORS FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF
LOCAL OFFICIALS REGARDING EVACUATIONS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS OR IF YOUR HOME
IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. PREPARE FOR POWER OUTAGES
THAT COULD LAST FOR MANY DAYS. MAKE SURE THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS A
FULL TANK OF GAS.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION, PLEASE
REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS FOR YOUR LOCATION AS
DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY AROUND 800 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

MDZ008-012-015-NJZ001-007>010-015-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>069-
291000-
/O.CON.KPHI.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MERCER-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-
BUCKS-
551 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION. NEW INFORMATION ON THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
STORM SURGE.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP
TO 100 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH
RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

MINOR DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES... ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT
HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS OR CARPORTS. POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY
SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES
MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS
WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. POWER LINES
WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN RESULTING IN POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE
BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THERE IS NO LONGER A THREAT OF A STORM SURGE ON THE UPPER PART OF
CHESAPEAKE BAY.

$$

DEZ001>004-NJZ012>014-016>027-PAZ070-071-291000-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
551 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION. NEW INFORMATION ON THE STORM SURGE.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 50 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 94 TO 100 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 60 MPH
RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH.

DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED. POORLY ANCHORED MOBILE HOMES MAY BE
DAMAGED...ALONG WITH THOSE OF OLD OR POOR CONSTRUCTION. SOME WELL
ANCHORED MOBILE HOMES MAY HAVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...WALLS AND WINDOWS. SOME HOMES OF FRAME CONSTRUCTION WILL
SUSTAIN DAMAGE AND PERHAPS BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS
WILL BE BLOWN ABOUT...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE
INJURY. MANY AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE POWER OUTAGES WITH SOME DOWNED
POWER POLES. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP.
SOME TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...ESPECIALLY WHERE THE GROUND IS
SATURATED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
FOR MIDDLESEX AND MONMOUTH COUNTIES IN NEW JERSEY...A STORM SURGE
OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE THE ASTRONOMICAL PREDICTED TIDE IS EXPECTED.
IT WILL RESULT IN NEAR RECORD SEVERE TIDAL FLOODING THIS MORNING.

FOR OCEAN COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY...A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 4 FEET
ABOVE THE ASTRONOMICAL PREDICTED TIDE IS EXPECTED. IT WILL RESULT
IN SEVERE TIDAL FLOODING THIS MORNING.

FOR ATLANTIC COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY...A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET
ABOVE THE ASTRONOMICAL PREDICTED TIDE IS EXPECTED. IT WILL RESULT
IN MODERATE TO SEVERE TIDAL FLOODING THIS MORNING.

FOR CAPE MAY COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY AND FOR SUSSEX COUNTY IN
DELAWARE...A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE THE ASTRONOMICAL
PREDICTED TIDE IS EXPECTED. IT WILL RESULT IN MODERATE TIDAL
FLOODING THIS MORNING.

FOR THE DELAWARE BAY SHORELINE...A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET
ABOVE THE ASTRONOMICAL PREDICTED TIDE IS EXPECTED. IT WILL RESULT
IN MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING THIS MORNING.

FOR THE TIDAL DELAWARE RIVER...A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
THE ASTRONOMICAL PREDICTED TIDE IS EXPECTED. IN COMBINATION WITH
RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL...IT WILL RESULT IN MODERATE TO
SEVERE TIDAL FLOODING THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SEVERE BEACH EROSION ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES...AROUND 20 FEET
HIGH...WILL OCCUR ALONG THE DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY COASTLINE
INTO THIS AFTERNOON.

...RIP CURRENTS...
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. DO
NOT ENTER THE SURF.

$$

MDZ019-020-291000-
/O.CAN.KPHI.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KPHI.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
TALBOT-CAROLINE-
551 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION. NEW INFORMATION ON THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
STORM SURGE. THE STATUS OF THE MARYLAND COUNTIES OF TALBOT AND
CAROLINE HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP
TO 100 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH
RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

MINOR DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES... ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT
HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS OR CARPORTS. POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY
SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES
MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS
WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. POWER LINES
WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN RESULTING IN POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE
BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THERE IS NO LONGER A THREAT OF A STORM SURGE ON THE UPPER PART OF
CHESAPEAKE BAY.

$$

ANZ430-431-450>455-291000-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
551 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 100 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 99 TO 100 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 55 KNOTS
RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS.

THE SEAS WILL BE AT LEAST 20 FEET ON THE ATLANTIC WATERS TODAY.
WAVES SHOULD BE 5 TO 10 FEET ON DELAWARE BAY...UP TO 15 FEET NEAR
THE ENTRANCE TO THE BAY.

$$

ANZ470-291000-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE FROM 20 TO 40 NM-
551 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 100
PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS
TIME IS 100 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 55 KNOTS
RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS.

SEAS ON THE ATLANTIC OUTER COASTAL WATERS WILL BE 20 TO 25 FEET
TODAY.

$$



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