[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 020433 CCA
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM EMILY LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1229 AM AST TUE AUG 2 2011

...TROPICAL STORM EMILY CONTINUES MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN
CARIBBEAN WATERS...

.NEW INFORMATION...
INLAND FLOODING...WINDS AND SEAS...TORNADOES...SURGE AND STORM TIDE AND
WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES SECTIONS HAVE BEEN ADDED.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY...NORTHEAST...SOUTHEAST...EASTERN
INTERIOR...NORTH CENTRAL...CENTRAL INTERIOR...PONCE AND
VICINITY...NORTHWEST...WESTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY...
SOUTHWEST...CULEBRA AND VIEQUES.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS...ST CROIX.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.5N...LONGITUDE 62.9W. THIS WAS ABOUT 290 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR...OR ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAINT
CROIX VI. STORM MOTION WAS W OR 275 DEGREES AT 17 MPH. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 40 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...

TROPICAL STORM EMILY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE WEST NORTHWEST
AROUND 15 MPH OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS PASSING ABOUT 90
NAUTICAL MILES FROM PONCE LATE TUESDAY EVENING. ON THIS
TRACK...OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS
EASTERN PUERTO RICO EARLY THIS MORNING AND SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS
THE REST OF PUERTO RICO TUESDAY. RAIN BANDS WILL BECOME MORE
FREQUENT TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. HOWEVER...ON THE LATEST
PROJECTED PATH THE CORE OF THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL REMAIN OVER
WATER.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 3 AM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-741-742-745-PRZ001>013-030430-
/O.COR.TJSJ.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
1229 AM AST TUE AUG 2 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 61 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM EMILY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE AROUND 40 MPH.

THIS COULD CAUSE TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES TO FALL AND CAUSE
ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. SEAS WILL BUILD UP TO 9 FEET OFFSHORE
CARIBBEAN WATERS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS IS EXPECTED TO
BE MINOR. THE STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 FEET.
THIS SURGE WILL ADD TO THE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...CREATING ABOVE
NORMAL TIDES. THUS...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF
INUNDATION OF LOW LYING AREAS UNTIL THE ONSHORE WINDS SUBSIDE.

IN ADDITION TO ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...HIGH SURF...AND STRONG RIP
CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. THE SURF ALONG THE SOUTH AND NORTH COASTS
OF PUERTO RICO WILL LIKELY APPROACH 7 TO 10 FEET TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS COULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION AND
POSSIBLY FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND ROADS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE PUERTO
RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...WHICH MAY
LEAD TO LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES. THEREFORE...
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE
INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED... AND BE READY FOR QUICK
ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS
ISSUED.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

PEOPLE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY
RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

SEE THE FORECAST FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.


...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE OUTER
RAIN BANDS ONCE THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION PASSES TO THE SOUTH OF THE
ISLAND AND WINDS BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY. REMEMBER...TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP MANY MILES AWAY FROM THE TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION.

$$

VIZ001-002-030430-
/O.COR.TJSJ.TR.A.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
1229 AM AST TUE AUG 2 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 27 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM EMILY MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS IS EXPECTED TO
BE MINOR. THE STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 FEET.
THIS SURGE WILL ADD TO THE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...CREATING ABOVE
NORMAL TIDES. THUS...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF
INUNDATION OF LOW LYING AREAS UNTIL THE ONSHORE WINDS SUBSIDE.

IN ADDITION TO ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...HIGH SURF...AND STRONG RIP
CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. THE SURF ALONG THE SOUTH AND NORTH COASTS
OF PUERTO RICO WILL LIKELY APPROACH 7 TO 10 FEET TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS COULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION AND
POSSIBLY FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND ROADS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...WHICH MAY
LEAD TO LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES. THEREFORE...
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE
INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED... AND BE READY FOR QUICK
ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS
ISSUED.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

PEOPLE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY
RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

SEE THE FORECAST FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.


...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE OUTER
RAIN BANDS ONCE THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION PASSES TO THE SOUTH OF THE
ISLAND AND WINDS BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY. REMEMBER...TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP MANY MILES AWAY FROM THE TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION.

$$








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