[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Sep 28 23:07:58 CDT 2010


WTUS82 KMLB 290407
HLSMLB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1207 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN APPROACHING THE SOUTH COAST OF
CUBA FORECAST TO APPROACH THE FLORIDA PENINSULA ON WEDNESDAY...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND
ATLANTIC WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA ATLANTIC WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH CONTINUES
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INDIAN RIVER...ST. LUCIE AND
MARTIN.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR ORANGE...SEMINOLE...BREVARD...OSCEOLA...AND
OKEECHOBEE...IMPACTS FROM LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE STILL A
CONCERN.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.
PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE ISSUED
FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9N...LONGITUDE 81.9W. THIS WAS ABOUT
460 MILES SOUTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL FL...OR ABOUT 400 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT PIERCE FL. THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS
MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH. THE STORM INTENSITY WAS 35 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN TO A
TROPICAL STORM WEDNESDAY MORNING AND MOVE NORTHEAST TOWARD SOUTH
FLORIDA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE DEPRESSION IS THEN FORECAST TO
MOVE OFFSHORE NEAR THE TREASURE COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND MOVE
QUICKLY TO THE NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE FLORIDA PENINSULA THURSDAY
MORNING. THE STRONGEST WINDS REMAIN ON THE RIGHT SIDE OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SIXTEEN...AND ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE ATLANTIC
WATERS...THOUGH LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH SQUALLS AS THEY MOVE ONSHORE LATE TONIGHT AND ON WEDNESDAY.
THESE SQUALLS WILL BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER MUCH OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA ON WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE...IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL THAT OCCURRED ON
TUESDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO LOCALIZED AMOUNTS UP TO 8 TO 10 INCHES
BY THURSDAY MORNING. A FEW TORNADOES MAY ALSO OCCUR WITH ANY
RAIN BANDS ON WEDNESDAY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MAIN THREAT WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL
AND MINOR FLOODING. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE READY TO ACT IF FLOOD WARNINGS
ARE ISSUED FOR THERE AREA. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.
NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR.

LAND AREAS UNDER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH SHOULD CONSIDER BRINGING
IN LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH COULD GET BLOWN AROUND. FOR COASTAL
WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK
SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.
IN ALL CASES...PEOPLE SHOULD BE RESPONDING ACCORDING TO THEIR
PERSONAL OR BUSINESS EMERGENCY PLAN FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
AND FREQUENT GUSTS.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 7 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FLZ054-059-064-291400-
/O.CON.KMLB.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-100930T0900Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.A.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
1207 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TRACK OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WOBBLES EAST...LITTLE EFFECT
ON EXPECTED CONDITIONS ACROSS AREA.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. THE
CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 25
PERCENT.

...WINDS...
THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM
FORCE...THOUGH WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH MAY OCCUR IN SQUALLS ON
WEDNESDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE AND
MARTIN COUNTIES. SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE
AND INTENSITY LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH MOST OF WEDNESDAY. REPEATED
MOVEMENT OF SQUALLS ACROSS THE TREASURE COAST IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS AVERAGING 5 TO 8 INCHES IN THIS AREA
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. AREAS WHICH HAVE SEEN HEAVY RAINFALL ON
TUESDAY MAY SEE LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES. RAINFALL
WILL TAPER OFF QUICKLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
MOVES QUICKLY AWAY FROM FLORIDA. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE
HIGHLY DEPENDENT UPON THE ACTUAL TRACK OF THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...AND WHERE ANY PERSISTENT RAIN BANDS SET UP ACROSS THE
AREA.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE STARTING LATE TONIGHT AS RAIN
SQUALLS INCREASE ALONG THE TREASURE COAST.

$$

AMZ555-572-575-291400-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
1207 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TRACK OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WOBBLES EAST...LITTLE EFFECT
ON EXPECTED CONDITIONS ACROSS AREA.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN
IN PORT ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. THE
CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 32
PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 12 TO 15 FEET OFFSHORE.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ANY RAIN BANDS THAT MOVE
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

$$

FLZ045>047-053-058-147-291400-
/O.CON.KMLB.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-OSCEOLA-OKEECHOBEE-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
1207 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...MINOR FLOODING AND ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TRACK OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WOBBLES EAST...LITTLE EFFECT
ON EXPECTED CONDITIONS ACROSS AREA.

&&

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR
GUSTY WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO
15 TO 25 MPH ON WEDNESDAY...BUT GUSTS UP TO 30 TO 35 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS BREVARD COUNTY. THE LATEST
FORECAST IS FOR SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM
FORCE ACROSS THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. FLOODING WILL BE
THE MOST DANGEROUS HAZARD FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN. SHOWERS
AND SQUALLS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY LATE TONIGHT
AND THROUGH MOST OF WEDNESDAY. REPEATED MOVEMENT OF SQUALLS ACROSS
THE AREA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS AVERAGING 3 TO 7
INCHES IN THIS AREA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. AREAS WHICH HAVE
SEEN HEAVY RAINFALL ON TUESDAY MAY SEE LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP
TO 8 TO 9 INCHES. RAINFALL WILL TAPER OFF QUICKLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVES QUICKLY AWAY FROM FLORIDA.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE STARTING EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING AS RAIN SQUALLS INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA

$$

AMZ552-291400-
/O.CON.KMLB.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
1207 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE UNLIKELY OCCUR.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR
TROPICAL STORM GUSTS WILL INCREASE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SEAS WILL BUILD TO AROUND 10 FEET 20 MILES
OFFSHORE. SMALL CRAFT MAY WISH TO REMAIN IN PORT ON WEDNESDAY
UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ANY RAIN BANDS THAT MOVE
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

$$

MOSES



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