[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMFL 282253
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
653 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 CONTINUES TO HEADS IN THE GENERAL
DIRECTION OF SOUTH FLORIDA...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...MAINLAND MONROE...COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL
BROWARD...COASTAL MIAMI DADE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...INLAND
BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...INLAND MIAMI DADE AND METRO MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ATLANTIC WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO OCEAN REEF, INCLUDING
BISCAYNE BAY. THE WARNING ALSO EXTENDS ALONG THE NORTH SIDE OF
FLORIDA BAY FROM THE CARD SOUND ROAD BRIDGE TO CAPE SABLE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE GULF WATERS FROM CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE.

ALL PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREAS SHOULD BEGIN PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY ACCORDING TO THE POTENTIAL IMPACTS
DESCRIBED BELOW IN THE SEGMENTS.

ALL PERSONS IN THE WATCH AREAS SHOULD REVISE THEIR PREPAREDNESS
PLAN AND BE READY TO IMPLEMENT IT SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED FOR
THEIR AREA.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT
MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.5N...LONGITUDE 82.4W. THIS WAS ABOUT
330 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTH
OF NAPLES FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 35 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE PRIMARY POTENTIAL IMPACTS WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO BE
RAINFALL FLOODING AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. ON THE CURRENT
FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY, HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. DUE TO THE RATHER DISORGANIZED NATURE
OF THE SYSTEM, IT IS QUITE POSSIBLE THAT MOST OF THE IMPACTS WILL
BE ON THE EAST SIDE. THIS MEANS THAT ONLY A SLIGHT SHIFT EAST OF
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WILL RESULT IN THE HEAVIEST RAIN AND
STRONGEST WINDS REMAINING OFFSHORE. NEVERTHELESS, SOUTH FLORIDIANS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF FIRST SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, AND SECOND THE POSSIBILITY OF SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY
PARTICULARLY ALONG THE EAST COAST METRO AND COASTAL AREAS.

THERE IS ALSO A CONCERN FOR SLIGHT RISK OF WEAK TORNADOES MAINLY
ALONG THE EASTERN HALF OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND SOME MINOR TIDAL
INUNDATION ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD COMPLETE
PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE
FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL BEFORE LEAVING. BE
SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND
CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU CAN ALSO GO
TO READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG, READY.GOV, FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE
AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT WEB SITE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND MIDNIGHT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FLZ168-172>174-290600-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
653 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITY, WINDS, FLOODING, AND TORNADO SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
24 TO 29 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO BEGIN WEDNESDAY MORNING BEGINNING
ACROSS THE SOUTHERNMOST ZONES AND SPREAD NORTH. CONDITIONS ARE
THEN EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO IMPROVE ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES BY MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON AND ACROSS NORTHERN ZONES BY EARLY EVENING. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
55 MPH POSSIBLE MAINLY IN RAIN BANDS.

POTENTIAL IMPACT: THESE WINDS REPRESENT A LIMITED THREAT
TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES,
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT ARE UNANCHORED. A FEW HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR
DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING. THESE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING CARPORTS, AWNINGS, POOL CAGES AND LANAI SCREENS.

UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND, POSSIBLY
CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. WINDS WILL BECOME DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES
AND CAUSEWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN, AND ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH
ABOVE GROUND LINES.

MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.
SMALL BRANCHES AND NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS WILL BREAK OFF TREES.
MANY PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY WITH THIS SYSTEM. IF PATTERNS OF REPEATED
RAINFALL OVER THE SAME AREAS DEVELOP THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD
ACTUALLY BE TWICE THAN FORECAST IN VERY LOCALIZED AREAS.
THEREFORE...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING RAINS
OCCUR.

...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK AND POTENTIAL OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED BRIEF WEAK
TORNADOES ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH THE MORNING ON WEDNESDAY.
REMAIN ON THE ALERT IN CASE TORNADO WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY.

$$

FLZ067-068-071>074-290600-
/O.CON.KMFL.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100930T0600Z/
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-
INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
653 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITY, WINDS, FLOODING, AND TORNADO SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
25 TO 30 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY MAINLY BETWEEN MID TO LATE MORNING
AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND MOSTLY IN RAIN BANDS. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH
WITH THOSE WINDS MORE LIKELY TO BE OBSERVED ALONG AREAS CLOSEST
TO THE COAST.

POTENTIAL IMPACT: THESE WINDS REPRESENT A LIMITED THREAT TO LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES,
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT ARE UNANCHORED. A FEW HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR
DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING. THESE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING CARPORTS, AWNINGS, POOL CAGES AND LANAI SCREENS.

UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND, POSSIBLY
CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. WINDS WILL BECOME DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES
AND CAUSEWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN, AND ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH
ABOVE GROUND LINES.

MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.
SMALL BRANCHES AND NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS WILL BREAK OFF TREES.
MANY PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY WITH THIS SYSTEM. IF PATTERNS OF REPEATED
RAINFALL OVER THE SAME AREAS DEVELOP THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD
ACTUALLY BE TWICE THAN FORECAST IN VERY LOCALIZED AREAS.
THEREFORE...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING RAINS
OCCUR.

...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK AND POTENTIAL OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED BRIEF WEAK
TORNADOES ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH THE MORNING ON WEDNESDAY.
REMAIN ON THE ALERT IN CASE TORNADO WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY.

$$

FLZ075-290600-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MAINLAND MONROE-
653 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITY AND WINDS SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
16 TO 24 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. HOWEVER...AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN
APPROACHES...STRONGER WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. CONTINUE TO
CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE
READY TO ACT.

$$

AMZ630-650-651-670-671-290600-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
653 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITY, WIND, AND TORNADO SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
AROUND 30 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ZONES AND SPREAD NORTH. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
BEGINS SUBSIDING BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EVENING ACROSS
SOUTHERN ZONES AND OVERNIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN ZONES. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS.

THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN SEAS OF 10 TO 15 FEET ACROSS THE AREA
ON WEDNESDAY...AND LOCALLY HIGHER...WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING BY
LATE IN THE DAY AS WINDS SUBSIDE.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK AND POTENTIAL OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED BRIEF WEAK
TORNADOES ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH THE MORNING ON WEDNESDAY.
REMAIN ON THE ALERT IN CASE SPECIAL MARINE WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY.

$$

GMZ657-290600-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
653 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITY AND WIND SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 25 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN PASSES NEARBY...THE THREAT FOR
SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS SHOULD NOT INCREASE.  HOWEVER...THERE IS
STILL SOME POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SINCE
THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

$$

AMZ610-FLZ063-066-069-070-GMZ656-676-290600-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-GLADES-HENDRY-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
653 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 MAIN IMPACTS LIKELY TO REMAIN EAST OF
THE AREA...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WINDS AND PROBABILITY SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
AS CURRENTLY ASSESSED...THE ONSET OF EITHER TROPICAL STORM OR
HURRICANE CONDITIONS IS UNLIKELY TO OCCUR.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY NOT IN
EFFECT...NOR ARE THEY LIKELY UNDER PRESENT CIRCUMSTANCES.

THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL
STORM FORCE. AT THIS TIME...REMAIN CALM AND STAY INFORMED SHOULD
ADVERSE CHANGES IN THE FORECAST OCCUR.

$$





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