[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMLB 282231
HLSMLB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
631 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA FORECAST TO APPROACH THE FLORIDA PENINSULA ON WEDNESDAY...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND
ATLANTIC WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA ATLANTIC WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH CONTINUES
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INDIAN RIVER...ST. LUCIE AND
MARTIN.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR ORANGE...SEMINOLE...OSCEOLA....OKEECHOBEE...AND
BREVARD...POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS ARE STILL A
CONCERN.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.
PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN
EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.5N...LONGITUDE 82.4W. THIS WAS ABOUT 490 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FL...OR ABOUT 430 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF FORT PIERCE FL. THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS MOVING TO
THE NORTH NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 35 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH NORTHEAST
TOWARD SOUTHEAST FLORIDA LATE TONIGHT AND JUST OFFSHORE NEAR THE
TREASURE COAST ON WEDNESDAY. THE SYSTEM IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTH NORTHEAST AND OFFSHORE THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. ON THE
CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS...THOUGH LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SQUALLS AS THEY MOVE ONSHORE LATE TONIGHT
AND DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO
STRENGTHEN TO A TROPICAL STORM EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND WILL
BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...IN ADDITION TO
HEAVY RAINFALL THAT OCCURRED ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL LEAD
TO LOCALIZED AMOUNTS UP TO 8 TO 10 INCHES BY THURSDAY MORNING. A
FEW TORNADOES MAY ALSO OCCUR WITH RAINBANDS LATE TONIGHT AND
DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SINCE THE MAIN THREAT WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN IS EXPECTED
TO BE HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING...RESIDENTS SHOULD BE
READY TO ACT IF FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED FOR THERE AREA.

LAND AREAS UNDER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH SHOULD CONSIDER BRINGING
IN LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH COULD GET BLOWN AROUND. FOR COASTAL
WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK
SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.
IN ALL CASES...PEOPLE SHOULD BE RESPONDING ACCORDING TO THEIR
PERSONAL OR BUSINESS EMERGENCY PLAN FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
AND FREQUENT GUSTS.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 1 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FLZ054-059-064-290600-
/O.CON.KMLB.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-100930T0900Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.A.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
631 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF UP TO 3 INCHES HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN PORT SAINT LUCIE
EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE CONDITIONS
DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 24 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR
SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST
IS FOR WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE...THOUGH WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH MAY OCCUR IN SQUALLS ON WEDNESDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE AND
MARTIN COUNTIES. SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE
AND INTENSITY LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH MOST OF WEDNESDAY. REPEATED
MOVEMENT OF SQUALLS ACROSS THE TREASURE COAST IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS AVERAGING 5 TO 8 INCHES IN THIS AREA
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. AREAS WHICH HAVE SEEN HEAVY RAINFALL ON
TUESDAY AFTERNOON MAY SEE LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES.
RAINFALL WILL TAPER OFF QUICKLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE MOVES OFFSHORE. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE HIGHLY
DEPENDENT UPON THE ACTUAL TRACK OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE...AND ANY
EASTWARD SHIFT IN THE TRACK WOULD KEEP HIGHER AMOUNTS OFFSHORE. MOST
FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE STARTING TONIGHT AS RAIN SQUALLS
INTERACT WITH A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE CENTRAL FLORIDA
PENINSULA.

$$

AMZ555-572-575-290600-
/O.UPG.KMLB.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.TR.W.0001.100928T2231Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
631 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS HAVE OCCURRED IN RAIN SQUALLS THIS AFTERNOON.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN
IN PORT ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 30 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST
TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEAS
WILL BUILD TO 12 TO 15 FEET OFFSHORE.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS RAIN SQUALLS INTERACT WITH
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA.

$$

FLZ045-046-053-147-290600-
/O.EXA.KMLB.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-NORTHERN BREVARD-
631 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...MINOR FLOODING AND ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE ...

...NEW INFORMATION...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF SIX AND A HALF INCHES AND MINOR ROAD FLOODING
HAVE BEEN REPORTED ACROSS NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. FLOODING WILL BE
THE MOST DANGEROUS HAZARD FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ACROSS
THESE AREAS. SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH MOST OF WEDNESDAY. REPEATED
MOVEMENT OF SQUALLS ACROSS THE AREA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
RAINFALL TOTALS AVERAGING 3 TO 6 INCHES IN THIS AREA THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING. AREAS WHICH HAVE SEEN HEAVY RAINFALL ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON MAY SEE LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES. RAINFALL
WILL TAPER OFF QUICKLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
MOVES OFFSHORE. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER
DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY.
FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF
FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD.
WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN
AROUND...DONT DROWN.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE STARTING TONIGHT AS RAIN SQUALLS
INTERACT WITH A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE CENTRAL FLORIDA
PENINSULA.

$$

FLZ047-058-290600-
/O.CON.KMLB.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-OKEECHOBEE-
631 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...MINOR FLOODING AND ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE ...

...NEW INFORMATION...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF SIX AND A HALF INCHES AND MINOR ROAD FLOODING
HAVE BEEN REPORTED ACROSS NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY
SMALL.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR GUSTY
WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO
25 MPH ON WEDNESDAY...BUT GUSTS UP TO 30 TO 35 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR SUSTAINED WINDS
TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. FLOODING WILL BE
THE MOST DANGEROUS HAZARD FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ACROSS
THE AREAS. SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH MOST OF WEDNESDAY. REPEATED
MOVEMENT OF SQUALLS ACROSS THE AREA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
RAINFALL TOTALS AVERAGING 4 TO 7 INCHES IN THIS AREA THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING. AREAS WHICH HAVE SEEN HEAVY RAINFALL ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON MAY SEE LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 8 TO 9 INCHES.
RAINFALL WILL TAPER OFF QUICKLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE MOVES OFFSHORE. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.
NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST
ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF
THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART
CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE STARTING TONIGHT AS RAIN SQUALLS
INTERACT WITH A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE CENTRAL FLORIDA
PENINSULA.

$$

AMZ552-290600-
/O.CON.KMLB.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
631 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
12 TO 18 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR
TROPICAL STORM GUSTS WILL INCREASE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SEAS WILL BUILD TO AROUND 10 FEET 20 MILES
OFFSHORE. SMALL CRAFT MAY WISH TO REMAIN IN PORT ON WEDNESDAY
UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS RAIN SQUALLS INTERACT
WITH A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA.

$$





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