[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 080551
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED SEP 8 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERMINE...CURRENTLY LOCATED INLAND OVER CENTRAL
TEXAS ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTH OF ABILENE.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS
SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT5
AND WMO HEADER WTNT35 KWNH...BEGINNING AT 400 AM CDT.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED NEAR AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS.  STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS OVER THIS SYSTEM ARE
EXPECTED TO DECREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AS THE LOW MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

THE REMNANTS OF GASTON...LOCATED ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SANTO
DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...ARE PRODUCING MINIMAL SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.  DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS BECOMING
LESS LIKELY AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

SHOWER ACTIVITY NEAR A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 525
MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE NORTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS
DISSIPATED.  SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A DRY AND STABLE ENVIRONMENT...AND DEVELOPMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH.  THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG


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