[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Sep 3 00:56:07 CDT 2010
WTUS81 KOKX 030555 PAA
HLSOKX
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
155 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010
...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WILL PASS EAST OF THE
AREA THIS EVENING...IMPACTS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
CONNECTICUT...EASTERN LONG ISLAND...AND THE COASTAL WATERS...
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SOUTHEASTERN
NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW LONDON...
SUFFOLK.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD...ESSEX...HUDSON...UNION...SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...BRONX...RICHMOND (STATEN
ISLAND)...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...QUEENS AND NASSAU.
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...NORTHERN NEW LONDON.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
COASTAL WATERS SURROUNDING LONG ISLAND.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.6N...LONGITUDE 74.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH
OF LONG ISLAND. STORM MOTION WAS NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 18 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 105 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS ABOUT 150 MILES
EAST OF MONTAUK POINT ON LONG ISLAND...OR ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF
NEW YORK CITY FRIDAY EVENING. THE GREATEST IMPACTS WILL BE ACROSS
EASTERN LONG ISLAND...SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT...AND THE ADJACENT
WATERS.
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
IMPACTS CAN BE FELT HUNDREDS OF MILES AWAY.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS
FOR THE PROTECTION OF PROPERTY. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND
MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO
YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR
CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A
WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.
FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A
WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.
DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...PLEASE
REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER
DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
&&
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN UPTON AROUND 7 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
NYZ078>081-040600-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
155 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 61
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
55 MPH.
MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE... AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR
COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 2 TO 4
FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING
IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND
LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.
THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
INCLUDE THE SHORELINES ADJACENT TO LONG ISLAND SOUND AND PECONIC
AND GARDINERS BAY.
...COASTAL HAZARDS...
LARGE WAVES TODAY INTO THE WEEKEND WILL CAUSE SUBSTANTIAL BEACH
EROSION...WITH WASHOVERS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTH
SHORE OF LONG ISLAND.
...RIP CURRENTS...
INCREASINGLY HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL DEVELOP
TODAY...WITH SURF CONDITIONS REMAINING DANGEROUS INTO THE
WEEKEND.
$$
CTZ009-NJZ005-006-011-NYZ071>077-040600-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
155 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE
BLOWN AROUND.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 31
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.
...WINDS...
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST FOR UPDATES.
THE ONSET OF STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND
THEN LAST INTO THE EVENING.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP
TO 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE
COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO
2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.
THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
INCLUDE THE SHORELINES ADJACENT TO LONG ISLAND SOUND DURING TIMES
OF HIGH TIDE.
...COASTAL HAZARDS...
THERE IS A CHANCE THAT LARGE WAVES TODAY INTO THE WEEKEND WILL
CAUSE BEACH EROSION...WITH WASHOVERS POSSIBLE ALONG ATLANTIC
FACING SHORELINES.
...RIP CURRENTS...
INCREASINGLY HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ON THE OCEAN
WILL DEVELOP TODAY...WITH SURF CONDITIONS REMAINING DANGEROUS
INTO THE WEEKEND.
$$
ANZ330-340-040600-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
155 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 60
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
55 KNOTS.
HIGHEST SEAS MAY REACH UP 10 FT ACROSS EASTERN LONG ISLAND
SOUND...AS LARGE SWELLS FROM THE OPEN ATLANTIC MOVE IN.
$$
ANZ335-040600-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
155 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 22 TO 32
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
45 KNOTS.
SEAS WILL BUILD TO 5 FEET.
...LOW WATER PROBLEMS...
ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE HURRICANE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR LOW WATER PROBLEMS
ACROSS LONG ISLAND SOUND. THIS MAY POSE A NAVIGATIONAL HAZARD.
$$
ANZ350-353-040600-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
155 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION THE SECURING
OF THEIR CRAFT.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 71
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
55 KNOTS.
SEAS WILL BUILD TO TO 15 TO 20 FT BY THIS EVENING.
$$
ANZ355-040600-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
155 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION THE SECURING
OF THEIR CRAFT.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 44
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
45 KNOTS.
SEAS WILL BUILD TO TO 12 TO 16 FT BY THIS EVENING.
$$
ANZ338-040600-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
155 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 20 TO 24
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL PASSES NEARBY THIS EVENING...THERE IS STILL A
POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SINCE THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.
$$
ANZ345-040600-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
155 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 51
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
45 KNOTS.
SEAS WILL BUILD TO 2 TO 4 FT.
$$
CTZ010>012-040600-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
155 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS
CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS. SECURE LOOSE
OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 52
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP
TO 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE
COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO
3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.
ALSO...A SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FT MAY FOLLOW ON SATURDAY...AFTER THE
STORM HAS PASSED.
$$
CTZ008-040600-
/O.CON.KOKX.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-100904T1000Z/
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
155 AM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE
BLOWN AROUND.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 50
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL PASSES WELL TO THE EAST THIS EVENING...THE
THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS MAY INCREASE. SINCE THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.
$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net
More information about the Tropical
mailing list