[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KBOX 022212 PAA
HLSBOX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
612 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE EARL STILL APPROACHING SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND
MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA...SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA...SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH
MA...BARNSTABLE MA...DUKES MA AND NANTUCKET MA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI...EASTERN KENT RI...BRISTOL RI...
WASHINGTON RI...NEWPORT RI AND BLOCK ISLAND RI.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...NORTHERN BRISTOL MA...WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
EASTERN ESSEX MA...SUFFOLK MA AND EASTERN NORFOLK MA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.5N...LONGITUDE 75.2W. THIS WAS ABOUT 670 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET MA. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH OR 360
DEGREES AT 18 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 115 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE EARL IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE AND IS MOVING
NORTH OFF THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA. EARL IS EXPECTED TO TURN
NORTHEAST FRIDAY AND HEAD TOWARD SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND. THE LATEST
TRACK PROJECTION STILL HAS HURRICANE EARL PASSING WITHIN 30 MILES
OF NANTUCKET FRIDAY NIGHT.

EARL WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AS IT MOVES OVER
COOLER WATERS...BUT MAY STILL BE A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE AS IT
MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO NANTUCKET FRIDAY NIGHT.

IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT WIND AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES
FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST EXTENSIVE WIND DAMAGE SOMEWHERE WITHIN
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...
DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS
ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR
CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE
CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS
UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL
SECURED. FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS
AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS
UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE
HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS
INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS
RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

ALL PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE EARL SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY NOON
FRIDAY.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TAUNTON AROUND 2 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

MAZ019>024-032215-
/O.CON.KBOX.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
612 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED ALL SECTIONS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MAKE THE FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. RUSH TO
COMPLETION THE HARDENING OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS BY CLOSING
SHUTTERS AND BRACING GARAGE DOORS.

IF EVACUATING...LEAVE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. GUARD AGAINST BEING
STUCK OUT ON ROADWAYS WHEN DANGEROUS WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS
ARRIVE. AGAIN...DO NOT STAY IN A MOBILE OR MANUFACTURED HOME.
REMEMBER...PETS ARE NOT ALLOWED IN MOST OFFICIAL SHELTERS...SO
CHECK AHEAD WITH YOUR INTENDED SHELTER.

IF STAYING IN A HOME...TURN THE REFRIGERATOR TO MAXIMUM COLD AND
KEEP IT CLOSED. TURN OFF PROPANE TANKS AND UNPLUG SMALL
APPLIANCES. FILL THE BATHTUB WITH WATER IN CASE THE TAP WATER
BECOMES UNAVAILABLE AFTER THE STORM. THIS IS FOR CLEANING AND
FLUSHING PURPOSES. DO NOT DRINK IT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
24 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 83 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
CAPE COD AND ISLANDS. HOWEVER...THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT NANTUCKET WHERE GUSTS UP TO
90 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. FOR THE REST OF THE MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE
ISLAND COASTLINE...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 60 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS CLOSEST TO THE CAPE COD CANAL.
IN THIS AREA WIND GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE. THE
PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR FROM AROUND 8 PM FRIDAY
INTO THE PREDAWN HOURS AND THEN DIMINISH TOWARD SATURDAY MORNING.
GIVEN TREES REMAIN FULLY LEAVED COMBINED WITH HEAVY RAINFALL...
WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL EASILY BE CAPABLE OF DOWNING OR
UPROOTING TREES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS.
THEREFORE EXPECT AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ACROSS CAPE COD
AND NANTUCKET.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
WITH THE PRESENT TRACK PROJECTION AND TIMING...STORM SURGE
FLOODING IS NOT A MAJOR CONCERN ALONG THE MASSACHUSETTS COAST. A
STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG NANTUCKET HARBOR...
THE EAST SIDE OF CHATHAM...AND THE NORTHEAST FACING COASTLINE OF
MARTHA/S VINEYARD AROUND THE TIME OF THE FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE.

ALTHOUGH A LOW RISK AT THIS TIME...MORE SERIOUS COASTAL FLOODING
COULD OCCUR FRIDAY NIGHT IN WELLFLEET AND PROVINCETOWN HARBOR...
IF EARL SHOULD TRACK FARTHER WEST AND PASS VERY NEAR THE OUTER
CAPE. HOWEVER THIS CLOSER TRACK IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING THE CAPE AND ISLANDS. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAIN ARE POSSIBLE...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES. MUCH OF
THIS RAIN MAY FALL IN A 6 HOUR PERIOD LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT...WHICH WOULD BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING ALONG WITH AREAS OF MINOR SMALL STREAM FLOODING. THE
AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS TRACK DEPENDENT AND COULD SHIFT
DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF EARL.

...RIP CURRENTS...
HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS SHORELINE. THIS INCLUDES CAPE
COD...NANTUCKET AND MARTHAS VINEYARD. THE WORST OF THESE DANGEROUS
BEACH CONDITIONS WILL BE FRIDAY AS HURRICANE EARL MAKES ITS
CLOSEST APPROACH TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. EARL WILL EXIT INTO THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES SATURDAY...HOWEVER THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
OCEAN WATERS WILL REMAIN VERY TURBULENT INTO THE WEEKEND DESPITE
IMPROVING WEATHER CONDITIONS. THEREFORE EXPECT HIGH SURF AND
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS TO PERSIST INTO AT LEAST SATURDAY AND THEN
SLOWLY EASING SUNDAY AND ESPECIALLY MONDAY. BEACH-GOERS SHOULD
CHECK WITH LOCAL BEACH PATROLS AND LIFEGUARDS BEFORE ENTERING THE
WATER. SWIMMING RESTRICTIONS ARE LIKELY WITH POSSIBLE BEACH
CLOSURES FRIDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO SATURDAY. THE MOST DANGEROUS
SURF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT SOUTH AND EAST FACING OCEAN
EXPOSED BEACHES.

$$

ANZ231>234-254-255-032215-
/O.CON.KBOX.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
612 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED ALL SECTIONS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT. THOSE ALREADY ON THE WATERS SHOULD
HEAD FOR A SAFE PORT IMMEDIATELY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
29 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 87 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS LATE FRIDAY EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO LAST FOR SEVERAL HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
BE IN THE 55 TO 75 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS.

THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR FROM 8 PM FRIDAY INTO
THE PREDAWN HOURS OF SATURDAY AS HURRICANE EARL MAKES ITS CLOSEST
APPROACH TO NANTUCKET. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH SATURDAY
MORNING.

SEAS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY FRIDAY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS EARL
APPROACHES. DANGEROUS SEAS UP TO 20 TO 25 FT ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY
NIGHT ACROSS THE OCEAN WATERS EAST OF NANTUCKET AND CAPE COD.
SEAS WILL REMAIN TURBULENT SATURDAY AFTER EARL PASSES WITH
SOUTHEAST SWELLS OF 10 TO 15 FT ACROSS THE EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS
OCEAN WATERS.

$$

RIZ002-004>008-032215-
/O.CON.KBOX.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
612 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED ALL SECTIONS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.

ALL PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE EARL SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY NOON
FRIDAY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 5 TO
10 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 66 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT
NANTUCKET WHERE GUSTS UP TO 90 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. FOR THE REST OF
THE RHODE ISLAND COASTLINE...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO
60 MPH ARE EXPECTED. THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR
FROM AROUND 8 PM FRIDAY INTO THE PREDAWN HOURS AND THEN DIMINISH
TOWARD SATURDAY MORNING. GIVEN TREES REMAIN FULLY LEAVED COMBINED
WITH HEAVY RAINFALL...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL EASILY BE
CAPABLE OF DOWNING OR UPROOTING TREES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
WITH THE PRESENT TRACK PROJECTION AND TIMING...STORM SURGE
FLOODING IS NOT A MAJOR CONCERN ALONG THE RHODE ISLAND COAST. A
STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE AROUND THE TIME OF THE
FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING THE CAPE AND ISLANDS. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF
RAIN ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS RHODE ISLAND. MUCH OF THIS RAIN MAY FALL
IN A 6 HOUR PERIOD LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.

THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS TRACK DEPENDENT AND COULD SHIFT
DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF EARL.

...RIP CURRENTS...
HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY
ACROSS THE RHODE ISLAND SHORELINE. THE WORST OF THESE DANGEROUS
BEACH CONDITIONS WILL BE FRIDAY AS HURRICANE EARL MAKES ITS
CLOSEST APPROACH TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. EARL WILL EXIT INTO THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES SATURDAY...HOWEVER THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
OCEAN WATERS WILL REMAIN VERY TURBULENT INTO THE WEEKEND DESPITE
IMPROVING WEATHER CONDITIONS. THEREFORE EXPECT HIGH SURF AND
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS TO PERSIST INTO AT LEAST SATURDAY AND THEN
SLOWLY EASING SUNDAY AND ESPECIALLY MONDAY. BEACH GOERS SHOULD
CHECK WITH LOCAL BEACH PATROLS AND LIFEGUARDS BEFORE ENTERING THE
WATER. SWIMMING RESTRICTIONS ARE LIKELY WITH POSSIBLE BEACH
CLOSURES FRIDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO SATURDAY. THE MOST DANGEROUS
SURF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT SOUTH AND EAST FACING OCEAN
EXPOSED BEACHES.

$$

ANZ235>237-256-032215-
/O.CON.KBOX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
612 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED ALL SECTIONS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT. THOSE ALREADY ON THE WATERS SHOULD
HEAD FOR A SAFE PORT IMMEDIATELY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
22 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 82 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 60 KT ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS. THE GREATEST RISK FOR SUSTAINED
WINDS UP TO 90 KT WILL BE ACROSS THE WATERS SOUTH AND EAST OF
NANTUCKET.

THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR FROM 8 PM FRIDAY INTO
THE PREDAWN HOURS OF SATURDAY AS HURRICANE EARL MAKES ITS CLOSEST
APPROACH TO NANTUCKET. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH SATURDAY
MORNING.

SEAS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY FRIDAY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS EARL
APPROACHES. DANGEROUS SEAS UP TO 20 TO 25 FT ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY
NIGHT ACROSS THE OCEAN WATERS EAST OF NANTUCKET AND CAPE COD.
SEAS WILL REMAIN TURBULENT SATURDAY AFTER EARL PASSES WITH
SOUTHEAST SWELLS OF 10 TO 15 FT ACROSS THE EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS
OCEAN WATERS.

$$

MAZ017-018-032215-
/O.CON.KBOX.TI.W.0001.100903T1800Z-100904T1000Z/
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
612 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM FRIDAY
TO 6 AM EDT SATURDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED ALL SECTIONS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY
WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME
DANGEROUS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.

ALL PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE EARL SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY NOON
FRIDAY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 5 TO
9 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 65 PERCENT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN FRIDAY EVENING.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED...WITH
THE STRONGEST WINDS CLOSEST TO THE CAPE COD CANAL. IN THIS AREA
WIND GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE. THE PERIOD OF
STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR FROM AROUND 8 PM FRIDAY INTO THE
PREDAWN HOURS AND THEN DIMINISH TOWARD SATURDAY MORNING. GIVEN
TREES REMAIN FULLY LEAVED COMBINED WITH HEAVY RAINFALL...WINDS OF
THIS MAGNITUDE WILL EASILY BE CAPABLE OF DOWNING OR UPROOTING
TREES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING THE CAPE AND ISLANDS. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAIN ARE POSSIBLE...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES. MUCH OF
THIS RAIN MAY FALL IN A 6 HOUR PERIOD LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT...WHICH WOULD BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING ALONG WITH AREAS OF MINOR SMALL STREAM FLOODING.

THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS TRACK DEPENDENT AND COULD SHIFT
DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF EARL.

$$

MAZ007-015-016-032215-
/O.CON.KBOX.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
612 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED ALL SECTIONS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 56 PERCENT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO
BEGIN FRIDAY EVENING.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM FRIDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT TO EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
WITH THE PRESENT TRACK PROJECTION AND TIMING...STORM SURGE
FLOODING IS NOT A MAJOR CONCERN ALONG THE MASSACHUSETTS COAST. A
STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE AROUND THE TIME OF THE
FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING THE CAPE AND ISLANDS. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF
RAIN ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST. MUCH OF THIS RAIN MAY
FALL IN A 6 HOUR PERIOD LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.

THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS TRACK DEPENDENT AND COULD SHIFT
DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF EARL.

...RIP CURRENTS...
HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS SHORELINE. THE WORST OF THESE
DANGEROUS BEACH CONDITIONS WILL BE FRIDAY NIGHT AS HURRICANE EARL
MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. EARL WILL EXIT
INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SATURDAY...HOWEVER THE SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND OCEAN WATERS WILL REMAIN VERY TURBULENT INTO THE WEEKEND
DESPITE IMPROVING WEATHER CONDITIONS. THEREFORE EXPECT HIGH SURF
AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS TO PERSIST INTO AT LEAST SATURDAY AND
THEN SLOWLY EASING SUNDAY AND ESPECIALLY MONDAY. BEACH GOERS
SHOULD CHECK WITH LOCAL BEACH PATROLS AND LIFEGUARDS BEFORE
ENTERING THE WATER. SWIMMING RESTRICTIONS ARE LIKELY WITH POSSIBLE
BEACH CLOSURES FRIDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO SATURDAY. THE MOST
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT SOUTH AND EAST FACING
OCEAN EXPOSED BEACHES.

$$

ANZ230-250-251-032215-
/O.CON.KBOX.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
612 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED ALL SECTIONS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT. THOSE ALREADY ON THE
WATERS SHOULD CONSIDER HEADING FOR A SAFE PORT IMMEDIATELY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 3 TO
13 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 73 PERCENT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN FRIDAY EVENING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 60 KT ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS.

THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR FROM 8 PM FRIDAY INTO
THE PREDAWN HOURS OF SATURDAY AS HURRICANE EARL MAKES ITS CLOSEST
APPROACH TO NANTUCKET. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH SATURDAY
MORNING.

SEAS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY FRIDAY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS EARL
APPROACHES. DANGEROUS SEAS UP TO 20 TO 25 FT ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY
NIGHT ACROSS THE OCEAN WATERS EAST OF NANTUCKET AND CAPE COD.
SEAS WILL REMAIN TURBULENT SATURDAY AFTER EARL PASSES WITH
SOUTHEAST SWELLS OF 10 TO 15 FT ACROSS THE EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS
OCEAN WATERS.

$$




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