[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 2 11:59:52 CDT 2010


WTUS81 KBOX 021659 PAA
HLSBOX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1259 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE EARL APPROACHING SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND
MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA...SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA...SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH
MA...BARNSTABLE MA...DUKES MA AND NANTUCKET MA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI...EASTERN KENT RI...BRISTOL
RI...WASHINGTON RI...NEWPORT RI AND BLOCK ISLAND RI.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...NORTHERN BRISTOL MA...WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
EASTERN ESSEX MA...SUFFOLK MA AND EASTERN NORFOLK MA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.9N...LONGITUDE 74.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 760 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET MA. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH OR
355 DEGREES AT 18 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 140 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE EARL IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AND IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST. EARL IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTH
LATE TODAY THEN NORTHEAST FRIDAY TOWARD SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND.
THE LATEST TRACK PROJECTION HAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST AND
EARL IS NOW EXPECTED TO TRACK WITHIN 30 MILES SOUTH OF NANTUCKET
FRIDAY NIGHT.

EARL WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS IT MOVES
OVER COOLER WATERS BUT MAY STILL BE A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE AS IT
MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO NANTUCKET FRIDAY NIGHT.

IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT WIND AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES
FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST EXTENSIVE DAMAGE SOMEWHERE WITHIN
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...
DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS
ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL
CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR
SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE
POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL
WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND
WELL SECURED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL
NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND
PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED
RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT.

ALL PREPARATIONS AND TRAVEL FOR HURRICANE EARL SHOULD BE COMPLETED
BY NOON FRIDAY.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TAUNTON SHORTLY. IT WILL PROVIDE IMPORTANT DETAILS
REGARDING THE EVOLVING TROPICAL CYCLONE THREATS AND THEIR
POTENTIAL IMPACTS UPON THE AREA.

MAZ019>024-031700-
/O.CON.KBOX.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
1259 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED ALL SECTIONS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MAKE THE FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. RUSH TO
COMPLETION THE HARDENING OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS BY CLOSING
SHUTTERS AND BRACING GARAGE DOORS. ALL PREPARATIONS AND TRAVEL
SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY NOON FRIDAY.

IF EVACUATING...LEAVE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. GUARD AGAINST BEING
STUCK OUT ON ROADWAYS WHEN DANGEROUS WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS
ARRIVE. AGAIN...DO NOT STAY IN A MOBILE OR MANUFACTURED HOME.
REMEMBER...PETS ARE NOT ALLOWED IN MOST OFFICIAL SHELTERS...SO
CHECK AHEAD WITH YOUR INTENDED SHELTER.

IF STAYING IN A HOME...TURN THE REFRIGERATOR TO MAXIMUM COLD AND
KEEP IT CLOSED. TURN OFF PROPANE TANKS AND UNPLUG SMALL
APPLIANCES. FILL THE BATHTUB WITH WATER IN CASE THE TAP WATER
BECOMES UNAVAILABLE AFTER THE STORM. THIS IS FOR CLEANING AND
FLUSHING PURPOSES. DO NOT DRINK IT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS  UP TO
28 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 64 PERCENT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN EARLY FRIDAY EVENING.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY FRIDAY EVENING.

SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS CAPE COD AND ISLANDS. HOWEVER...THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT NANTUCKET WHERE GUSTS UP TO
90 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. FOR THE REST OF THE MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE
ISLAND COASTLINE...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 60 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS CLOSEST TO THE CAPE COD
CANAL. IN THIS AREA WIND GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE.
THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
EVENING...THEN DIMINISH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY
MORNING. GIVEN TREES REMAIN FULLY LEAVED COMBINED WITH HEAVY
RAINFALL...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL EASILY BE CAPABLE OF
DOWNING OR UPROOTING TREES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS CAPE COD AND THE
ISLANDS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
WITH THE PRESENT TRACK PROJECTION AND TIMING...STORM SURGE
FLOODING IS NOT A MAJOR CONCERN ALONG THE MASSACHUSETTS COAST. A
STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG NANTUCKET HARBOR...
THE EAST SIDE OF CHATHAM...AND THE NORTHEAST FACING COASTLINE OF
MARTHAS VINEYARD AROUND THE TIME OF THE FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE.
ALONG THE REST OF THE MASSACHUSETTS  COAST...A STORM SURGE OF 1
TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE.

ALTHOUGH A LOW RISK AT THIS TIME...MORE SERIOUS COASTAL FLOODING
COULD OCCUR FRIDAY NIGHT IN WELLFLEET AND PROVINCETOWN HARBOR...
IF EARL SHOULD TRACK FURTHER WEST AND PASS VERY NEAR THE OUTER
CAPE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS WHERE AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS POSSIBLE...WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES. MUCH OF THIS RAIN MAY FALL IN A
12 HOUR PERIOD LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...WHICH WOULD BE
ENOUGH TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING
ALONG WITH MINOR SMALL STREAM AND RIVER FLOODING...WITH POCKETS OF
MODERATE FLOODING.

THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS TRACK DEPENDENT AND COULD SHIFT
FARTHER WEST OR EAST DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF EARL.

...RIP CURRENTS...
HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL ARRIVE TODAY ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS SHORELINE. THIS INCLUDES CAPE COD...
NANTUCKET AND MARTHAS VINEYARD. THE WORST OF THESE DANGEROUS BEACH
CONDITIONS WILL BE FRIDAY AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND. EARL WILL EXIT INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
SATURDAY...HOWEVER THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND OCEAN WATERS WILL
REMAIN VERY TURBULENT INTO THE WEEKEND DESPITE IMPROVING WEATHER
CONDITIONS. THEREFORE EXPECT HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
TO PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO SUNDAY AS WELL.
BEACH GOERS SHOULD CHECK WITH LOCAL BEACH PATROLS AND LIFEGUARDS
BEFORE ENTERING THE WATER. SWIMMING RESTRICTIONS ARE LIKELY WITH
POSSIBLE BEACH CLOSURES DURING THIS TIME. THE MOST DANGEROUS SURF
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT SOUTH AND EAST FACING OCEAN EXPOSED
BEACHES.

$$

ANZ231>234-254-255-031700-
/O.CON.KBOX.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
1259 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED ALL SECTIONS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT. THOSE ALREADY ON THE WATERS SHOULD
HEAD FOR A SAFE PORT IMMEDIATELY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS  UP TO
33 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 67 PERCENT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN FRIDAY EVENING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS EARLY FRIDAY EVENING.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO LAST FOR MANY HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
IN THE 60 TO 80 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 95 KNOTS.

THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ACROSS THE WATERS SOUTH AND EAST OF
NANTUCKET...AND SHOULD OCCUR LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS
HURRICANE EARL MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO NANTUCKET. WINDS WILL
BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY BY SATURDAY
MORNING.

SEAS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY FRIDAY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS EARL
APPROACHES. DANGEROUS SEAS UP TO 30 FT ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT
ACROSS THE OCEAN WATERS EAST OF NANTUCKET AND CAPE COD. SEAS WILL
REMAIN TURBULENT SATURDAY AFTER EARL PASSES WITH SOUTHEAST SWELLS
OF 12 TO 18 FT ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST WATERS IN THE MORNING...
SUBSIDING TO 8 TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$

RIZ002-004>008-031700-
/O.CON.KBOX.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
1259 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED ALL SECTIONS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. ALL
PREPARATIONS FOR EARL SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY NOON FRIDAY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 8 TO
14 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS 44 TO 53 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 60 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. THESE WINDS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
EVENING...THEN DIMINISH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY
MORNING. GIVEN TREES REMAIN FULLY LEAVED...COMBINED WITH HEAVY
RAINFALL...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL EASILY BE CAPABLE OF
DOWNING LIMBS AND SMALL TREES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
WITH THE PRESENT TRACK PROJECTION AND TIMING...STORM SURGE
FLOODING IS NOT A MAJOR CONCERN ALONG THE RHODE ISLAND COAST. A
STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS RHODE ISLAND WHERE
AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS POSSIBLE...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO
6 INCHES. MUCH OF THIS RAIN MAY FALL IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD LATE
FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...WHICH WOULD BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING ALONG WITH MINOR SMALL
STREAM AND RIVER FLOODING...WITH POCKETS OF MODERATE FLOODING.

THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS TRACK DEPENDENT AND COULD SHIFT
FARTHER WEST OR EAST DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF EARL.

...RIP CURRENTS...
HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL ARRIVE TODAY ALONG THE
RHODE ISLAND SHORELINE. THE WORST OF THESE DANGEROUS BEACH
CONDITIONS WILL BE FRIDAY AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND. EARL WILL EXIT INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
SATURDAY...HOWEVER THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND OCEAN WATERS WILL
REMAIN VERY TURBULENT INTO THIS WEEKEND DESPITE IMPROVING WEATHER
CONDITIONS. THEREFORE EXPECT HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
TO PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO SUNDAY AS WELL.
BEACH GOERS SHOULD CHECK WITH LOCAL BEACH PATROLS AND LIFEGUARDS
BEFORE ENTERING THE WATER. SWIMMING RESTRICTIONS ARE LIKELY WITH
POSSIBLE BEACH CLOSURES DURING THIS TIME. THE MOST DANGEROUS SURF
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT SOUTH AND EAST FACING OCEAN EXPOSED
BEACHES.

$$

ANZ235>237-256-031700-
/O.CON.KBOX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
1259 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED ALL SECTIONS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.  THOSE ALREADY ON THE WATERS SHOULD
HEAD FOR A SAFE PORT IMMEDIATELY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS  UP TO
26 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 64 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS OF 40 TO 60 KT ARE EXPECTED. THESE WINDS ARE MOST LIKELY TO
BEGIN EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHT AS HURRICANE EARL MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO NANTUCKET.
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY BY
SATURDAY MORNING.

SEAS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY FRIDAY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS EARL
APPROACHES. DANGEROUS SEAS UP TO 30 FT ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT
ACROSS THE OCEAN WATERS EAST OF NANTUCKET AND CAPE COD. SEAS WILL
REMAIN TURBULENT SATURDAY AFTER EARL PASSES WITH SOUTHEAST SWELLS
OF 12 TO 18 FT ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST WATERS IN THE MORNING...
SUBSIDING TO 8 TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$

MAZ017-018-031700-
/O.CON.KBOX.TI.W.0001.100903T1800Z-100904T1000Z/
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
1259 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM FRIDAY
TO 6 AM EDT SATURDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED ALL SECTIONS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. ALL
PREPARATIONS FOR EARL SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY NOON FRIDAY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 8 TO
14 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS 43 TO 52 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED. THESE WINDS ARE MOST LIKELY TO
BEGIN EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHT AS HURRICANE EARL MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO NANTUCKET.
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY BY
SATURDAY MORNING.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS WHERE AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS POSSIBLE...WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES. MUCH OF THIS RAIN MAY FALL IN A
12 HOUR PERIOD LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...WHICH WOULD BE
ENOUGH TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING
ALONG WITH MINOR SMALL STREAM AND RIVER FLOODING...WITH POCKETS
OF MODERATE FLOODING.

THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS TRACK DEPENDENT AND COULD SHIFT
FARTHER WEST OR EAST DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF EARL.

$$

MAZ007-015-016-031700-
/O.CON.KBOX.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
1259 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED ALL SECTIONS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO
SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS. ALL PREPARATIONS FOR EARL SHOULD
BE COMPLETED BY NOON FRIDAY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 5 TO
9 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS 36 TO 45 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR WINDS TO
REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
WITH THE PRESENT TRACK PROJECTION AND TIMING...STORM SURGE
FLOODING IS NOT A MAJOR CONCERN ALONG THE EAST MASSACHUSETTS
COAST. A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS RHODE ISLAND AND
EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS WHERE AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS
POSSIBLE...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES. MUCH OF THIS RAIN
MAY FALL IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...
WHICH WOULD BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD URBAN AND POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING ALONG WITH MINOR SMALL STREAM AND RIVER
FLOODING...WITH POCKETS OF MODERATE FLOODING.

THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS TRACK DEPENDENT AND COULD SHIFT
FARTHER WEST OR EAST DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF EARL.

...RIP CURRENTS...
HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL ARRIVE TODAY ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS SHORELINE. THIS INCLUDES CAPE COD...
NANTUCKET AND MARTHAS VINEYARD. THE WORST OF THESE DANGEROUS BEACH
CONDITIONS WILL BE FRIDAY AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND. EARL WILL EXIT INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
SATURDAY...HOWEVER THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND OCEAN WATERS WILL
REMAIN VERY TURBULENT INTO THE WEEKEND DESPITE IMPROVING WEATHER
CONDITIONS. THEREFORE EXPECT HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
TO PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO SUNDAY AS WELL.
BEACH GOERS SHOULD CHECK WITH LOCAL BEACH PATROLS AND LIFEGUARDS
BEFORE ENTERING THE WATER. SWIMMING RESTRICTIONS ARE LIKELY WITH
POSSIBLE BEACH CLOSURES DURING THIS TIME. THE MOST DANGEROUS SURF
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT SOUTH AND EAST FACING OCEAN EXPOSED
BEACHES.

$$

ANZ230-250-251-031700-
/O.CON.KBOX.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
1259 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED ALL SECTIONS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS  UP TO
19 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 57 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR STRONG
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE FRIDAY EVENING TO SATURDAY
MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO
BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHT AS HURRICANE EARL MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO NANTUCKET.
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY BY
SATURDAY MORNING.

SEAS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY FRIDAY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS EARL
APPROACHES. DANGEROUS SEAS UP TO 30 FT ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT
ACROSS THE OCEAN WATERS EAST OF NANTUCKET AND CAPE COD. SEAS WILL
REMAIN TURBULENT SATURDAY AFTER EARL PASSES WITH SOUTHEAST SWELLS
OF 12 TO 18 FT ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST WATERS IN THE MORNING...
SUBSIDING TO 8 TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$




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