[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KGYX 021608
HLSGYX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1208 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL MAINE AND
NEW HAMPSHIRE...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF NEW HAMPSHIRE AND WESTERN MAINE.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
COASTAL YORK...COASTAL CUMBERLAND...SAGADAHOC...LINCOLN...KNOX...
COASTAL WALDO AND COASTAL ROCKINGHAM.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE COASTAL WATERS FROM STONINGTON ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.1N...LONGITUDE 74.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 920 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF PORTLAND ME.

STORM MOTION WAS NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 18 MPH. STORM INTENSITY
WAS 145 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE EARL WILL TRACK PAST THE OUTER BANKS LATE TONIGHT...AND
TURN TO THE NORTHEAST...MOVING TO THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY
NIGHT...BEFORE HEADING TOWARDS NOVA SCOTIA. GUSTY WINDS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL ENTER SOUTHERN MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE
FRIDAY NIGHT. SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. THE WIND AND RAIN
WILL TAPER OFF DURING SATURDAY MORNING. BEACH EROSION AND SPLASH-
OVER MAY OCCUR DURING THIS PERIOD...MAINLY ALONG THE VULNERABLE
EAST FACING BEACH LOCATIONS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

OVER INLAND AREAS...TROPICAL CYCLONE CONDITIONS ARE ASSOCIATED
WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS...BE PREPARED FOR POWER OUTAGES. FOR THE
MARINE WATERS...TROPICAL CYCLONE CONDITIONS ARE ALSO ASSOCIATED
WITH DANGEROUS SEAS. TROPICAL STORMS HAVE WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
WHICH EQUATES TO 34 TO 63 KNOTS.

HEAVY RAIN MAY ACCOMPANY TROPICAL CYCLONES. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT THE STATED CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
NEXT 48 HOURS FOR THE SPECIFIED AREAS. IN ORDER TO MAKE THE BEST
DECISIONS...BE SURE THAT YOU UNDERSTAND THE TERMINOLOGY AND
DEFINITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE EVENTS.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AROUND NOON. IT WILL PROVIDE IMPORTANT DETAILS REGARDING THE
EVOLVING TROPICAL CYCLONE THREATS AND THEIR POTENTIAL IMPACTS UPON
THE AREA.

ANZ150>154-022045-
/O.CON.KGYX.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM-PENOBSCOT BAY-
PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM-CASCO BAY-
CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM-
1208 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THERE IS NO NEW INFORMATION.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP
TO 48 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST. IF TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE CONDITIONS WERE TO
OCCUR...THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF ONSET IS FRIDAY
EVENING...LASTING INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL PASSES NEARBY...SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 KNOTS...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 TO 50
KNOTS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR WINDS THIS STRONG WILL BE IN AREAS
NORTH AND EAST OF CASCO BAY. SINCE THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.

$$

MEZ025>028-022045-
/O.CON.KGYX.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX-COASTAL WALDO-
1208 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THERE IS NO NEW INFORMATION.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 42 PERCENT. IF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WERE TO OCCUR THE
MOST LIKELY ONSET TIME WOULD BE FRIDAY EVENING...LASTING INTO
SATURDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL PASSES NEARBY...LOOK FOR WINDS TO INCREASE TO 20
TO 3O MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST. SINCE THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY
MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
HIGH TIDE IS EXPECTED TO BE 9.5 FEET AT 650 PM FRIDAY EVENING IN
PORTLAND WITH ANOTHER HIGH TIDE AT 736 AM AT ONLY 8.3 FEET.
THE STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE AROUND A FOOT DURING THIS PERIOD. THIS
WOULD KEEP PORTLAND'S STORM TIDE BELOW ITS 12 FOOT FLOOD STAGE.
THEREFORE...COASTAL FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
HOWEVER...HIGH ENERGY SWELLS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING MAY
PRODUCE BEACH EROSION AND SPLASH-OVER...MAINLY ALONG THE MORE
VULNERABLE EAST FACING BEACHES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A QUICK ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN MAY FALL FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY MORNING. THERE WILL MOST LIKELY BE SOME LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS. THIS COULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RISES ON SMALL RIVERS AND
STREAMS...AS WELL AS LOCALIZED URBAN FLOODING.

$$

MEZ023-024-NHZ014-022045-
/O.CON.KGYX.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-
1208 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THERE IS NO NEW INFORMATION.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 35 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A DOWNWARD TREND. IF TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS WERE TO OCCUR THE MOST LIKELY ONSET TIME WOULD BE
FRIDAY EVENING...LASTING INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.


...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL PASSES NEARBY...LOOK FOR WINDS TO INCREASE TO 15 TO
25 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT THE STORM COULD SHIFT A LITTLE
MORE TO THE WEST...WHICH WOULD BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
INTO THE REGION. SINCE THIS UNCERTAINTY REMAINS...CLOSELY MONITOR THE
FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
HIGH TIDE IS EXPECTED TO BE 9.5 FEET AT 650 PM FRIDAY EVENING IN
PORTLAND WITH ANOTHER HIGH TIDE AT 736 AM AT ONLY 8.3 FEET.
THE STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE AROUND A FOOT DURING THIS
PERIOD. THIS WOULD KEEP PORTLAND'S STORM TIDE BELOW ITS 12 FOOT
FLOOD STAGE. THEREFORE...COASTAL FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME.

HOWEVER...HIGH ENERGY SWELLS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING
MAY PRODUCE BEACH EROSION AND SPLASH-OVER...MAINLY ALONG THE MORE
VULNERABLE EAST FACING BEACHES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A QUICK ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN MAY FALL FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY MORNING. THERE WILL MOST LIKELY BE SOME LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS. THIS COULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RISES ON SMALL RIVERS AND
STREAMS...AS WELL AS LOCALIZED URBAN FLOODING.


$$




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