[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KAKQ 021556
HLSAKQ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1156 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE EARL HEADING FOR THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH
CAROLINA...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN
VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...AND THE LOWER EASTERN
SHORE...INCLUDING THE VIRGINIA PORTION OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...
CURRITUCK SOUND...AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
PASQUOTANK...CAMDEN...INLAND CURRITUCK...BERTIE...CHOWAN...
PERQUIMANS AND OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF VIRGINIA PORTION OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...CURRITUCK
SOUND...AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INLAND WORCESTER...MARYLAND BEACHES...
NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH...CHESAPEAKE...VIRGINIA BEACH...ACCOMACK AND
NORTHAMPTON VA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF VIRGINIA PORTION OF THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY...CURRITUCK SOUND...AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
YORK...ISLE OF WIGHT...NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON AND SUFFOLK.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF VIRGINIA PORTION OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...CURRITUCK
SOUND...AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.9N...LONGITUDE 74.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 430 MILES SOUTH
OF CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA...OR ABOUT 420 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
NORFOLK VA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...220
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
EARL IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE
WIND SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED
TODAY...BUT GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN ON FRIDAY. HURRICANE
EARL IS MOVING TO THE NORTH AT 18 MPH. ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE
OF THE HURRICANE WILL APPROACH THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST THIS
EVENING...AND THEN TURN NORTHEAST AND PARALLEL THE COAST LINE
FRIDAY MORNING...BEFORE HEADING TOWARD NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY NIGHT.

AT THIS TIME...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
OFFSHORE AS IT PASSES THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. WHEN MAKING
DECISIONS DO NOT FOCUS ON THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF THE
STORM...AS THIS IS A LARGE HURRICANE WITH TROPICAL STORM WIND
FIELDS THAT EXTEND APPROXIMATELY 230 MILES FROM THE CENTER OF THE
STORM. IN ADDITION...THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT
TRACT OF THE STORM AND JUST SMALL SHIFT IN THAT TRACK COULD LEAD
TO REMARKABLY DIFFERENT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

THE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THIS EVENING...REACHING TROPICAL
STORM STRENGTH AFTER MIDNIGHT THEN SPREAD NORTHWARD
OVERNIGHT....WITH HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS ANTICIPATED ALONG THE
NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA COAST. THE STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE
INTO FRIDAY MORNING OVER THE WARNED AREAS. STORM SURGE VALUES
BETWEEN 2 AND 3 FEET ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COAST IN
NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA DURING HIGH TIDE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND
AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN MODERATE TO SEVERE
COASTAL FLOODING. OVER THE TIDEWATER REGION ALONG SOUTHERN
CHESAPEAKE BAY...STORM SURGE VALUES EXPECTED TO PEAK BETWEEN 1.5
AND 2 FEET...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL
FLOODING. BANDS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO BRING BETWEEN .5 TO 1
INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER MOST OF THE WARNED AREAS...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL SECTIONS OF
NORTH CAROLINA.

SIGNIFICANT SWELLS WILL BRING A HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LARGE BATTERING WAVES WILL ALSO LIKELY PEAK
BETWEEN 14 AND 18 FEET IN THE COASTAL WATERS WITH HIGH SURF ALONG
THE COAST. THE ANTICIPATED STORM SURGE COMBINED WITH THE HIGH
SURF WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION AND OVERWASH ISSUES
ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST...MOST NOTABLY FROM VIRGINIA BEACH
SOUTH.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. FOR INTERESTS AT
PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED
PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR
THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
AND WELL SECURED. FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR
PREPARATIONS AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT
OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR
CRAFT. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND
PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED
RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD AROUND 3 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

ANZ633-658-031600-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CURRITUCK SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
TO 20 NM-
1156 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CONTINUE TO PREPARE FOR THE THREAT OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. IF
YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE
PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. IF YOU PLAN TO
REMOVE YOUR BOAT FROM THE WATER AND MOVE IT INLAND NOW IS THE
TIME TO DO SO. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK
SAFE HARBOR LATER TODAY AND REMAIN THERE UNTIL EARL PASSES.
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR OFFICIAL STORM
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 28 PERCENT.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 86
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...WITH GUST TO HURRICANE FORCE...ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
LATE THIS EVENING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL
LIKELY PEAK BETWEEN 14 AND 18 FEET FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING. WAVES IN THE CURRITUCK SOUND ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK
UP TO 3 FEET.

$$

NCZ102-031600-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-
1156 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MAKE THE FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. RUSH TO
COMPLETION THE HARDENING OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS BY CLOSING
SHUTTERS AND BRACING GARAGE DOORS.

IF EVACUATING...LEAVE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. GUARD AGAINST BEING
STUCK OUT ON ROADWAYS WHEN DANGEROUS WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS
ARRIVE. AGAIN...DO NOT STAY IN A MOBILE OR MANUFACTURED HOME.
REMEMBER...PETS ARE NOT ALLOWED IN MOST OFFICIAL SHELTERS...SO
CHECK AHEAD WITH YOUR INTENDED SHELTER.

IF STAYING IN A HOME...TURN THE REFRIGERATOR TO MAXIMUM COLD AND
KEEP IT CLOSED. TURN OFF PROPANE TANKS AND UNPLUG SMALL
APPLIANCES. FILL THE BATHTUB WITH WATER IN CASE THE TAP WATER
BECOMES UNAVAILABLE AFTER THE STORM. THIS IS FOR CLEANING AND
FLUSHING PURPOSES. DO NOT DRINK IT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 15 TO
19 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS 77 TO 81 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...WITH GUST TO HURRICANE FORCE...ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN
AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND
PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING
DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY
CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND
SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS
BETWEEN 2 AND 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN ALONG THE
ATLANTIC COAST IN CURRITUCK COUNTY...RESULTING IN WORST CASE
FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE
WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE...WHICH REPRESENTS MODERATE TO SEVERE
COASTAL FLOODING. THE GREATEST RISK OF COASTAL FLOODING AS A
RESULT WILL BE DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES EARLY FRIDAY MORNING
AND AFTERNOON.

MANY RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG THE SHORELINE OR COASTAL FLOOD PRONE
AREAS CAN EXPECT SOME WATER INTO THEIR HOMES IF NOT ELEVATED OR
PROTECTED BY A SEAWALL. BATTERING WAVES ALONG THE COASTLINE WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROADS IN FLOOD PRONE
AREAS WILL LIKELY BE CLOSED. MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE...BECOMING LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE
HIGH TIDES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE THREAT OF INLAND FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN WITH HURRICANE EARL
REMAINS LOW. GENERALLY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES...WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING
THE ENTIRE EVENT.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SIGNIFICANT SWELLS WILL BRING AN HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL ALSO LIKELY PEAK
BETWEEN 14 AND 18 FEET ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST FROM LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THE ANTICIPATED STORM SURGE
COMBINED WITH THE HIGH SURF WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION
AND OVERWASH ISSUES ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.

$$

NCZ015>017-031600-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK-
1156 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MAKE THE FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. RUSH TO
COMPLETION THE HARDENING OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS BY CLOSING
SHUTTERS AND BRACING GARAGE DOORS.

IF EVACUATING...LEAVE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. GUARD AGAINST BEING
STUCK OUT ON ROADWAYS WHEN DANGEROUS WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS
ARRIVE. AGAIN...DO NOT STAY IN A MOBILE OR MANUFACTURED HOME.
REMEMBER...PETS ARE NOT ALLOWED IN MOST OFFICIAL SHELTERS...SO
CHECK AHEAD WITH YOUR INTENDED SHELTER.

IF STAYING IN A HOME...TURN THE REFRIGERATOR TO MAXIMUM COLD AND
KEEP IT CLOSED. TURN OFF PROPANE TANKS AND UNPLUG SMALL
APPLIANCES. FILL THE BATHTUB WITH WATER IN CASE THE TAP WATER
BECOMES UNAVAILABLE AFTER THE STORM. THIS IS FOR CLEANING AND
FLUSHING PURPOSES. DO NOT DRINK IT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 20 PERCENT.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 82
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WIND WINDS...AT LEAST
GUSTS...ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 3 AND 9 AM ON FRIDAY.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND
PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING
DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY
CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND
SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...A STORM SURGE UP TO FOOT ALONG THE
NORTHERN COASTS OF ALBEMARLE SOUND IS ANTICIPATED...RESULTING IN
WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. AS A RESULT...AT THIS POINT...
THERE IS A LOW RISK FOR EVEN MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE NORTHERN
COASTS OF ALBEMARLE SOUND.

$$

NCZ030>032-031600-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BERTIE-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-
1156 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MAKE THE FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. RUSH TO
COMPLETION THE HARDENING OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS BY CLOSING
SHUTTERS AND BRACING GARAGE DOORS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 12 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 74 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND
PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING
DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY
CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND
SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...A STORM SURGE UP TO 1 FOOT ALONG
THE NORTHERN COASTS OF ALBEMARLE SOUND IS ANTICIPATED...RESULTING
IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. AS A RESULT...AT THIS POINT...
THERE IS A LOW RISK FOR EVEN MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE NORTHERN
COASTS OF ALBEMARLE SOUND.

$$

VAZ095-097-098-031600-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH-
1156 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED
BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. COVER WINDOWS AND DOORS WITH
SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OUTDOOR
OBJECTS INSIDE. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS...INCLUDING GARAGE
DOORS.

COMPLY WITH ANY EVACUATION ORDERS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF
YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS...OR YOU LIVE IN A SURGE
ZONE OR ANY LOCATION PRONE TO FLOODING...EVACUATE TO A DESIGNATED
SHELTER OR RIDE OUT THE STORM IN THE STURDY HOME OF FAMILY OR
FRIENDS OUTSIDE OF EVACUATION ZONES.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 5 TO
13 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS 75 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...AND CONTINUE
TO ABOUT NOON.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY.
ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS
BETWEEN 2 AND 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL...OR ABOUT 4 TO 5 FEET
ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER...ALONG THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY AND
ADJACENT TRIBUTARIES. THIS WOULD RESULT IN A WORST CASE FLOOD
INUNDATION OF TO 1.5 TO 2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN
THE SURGE ZONE...WHICH REPRESENTS MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING. THE
GREATEST RISK OF COASTAL FLOODING AS A RESULT WILL BE DURING THE
HIGH TIDE CYCLES EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SIGNIFICANT SWELLS AND HIGH SURF IN EXCESS OF 8 FEET WILL BRING
A HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE
ANTICIPATED STORM SURGE COMBINED WITH THE HIGH SURF WILL CAUSE
SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION AND OVERWASH ISSUES ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COAST.


$$

ANZ650-652-654-656-031600-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT
TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT TO
20 NM-
1156 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND
MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. IF YOU
PLAN TO REMOVE YOUR BOAT FROM THE WATER AND MOVE IT INLAND NOW IS
THE TIME TO DO SO. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO PORT OR
SEEK SAFE HARBOR LATER TODAY AND REMAIN THERE UNTIL EARL PASSES.
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR OFFICIAL STORM
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 19 PERCENT.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 81
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THURSDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND
CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL LIKELY PEAK BETWEEN
12 AND 16 FEET FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

ANZ632-031600-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA-
1156 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND
MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. IF YOU
PLAN TO REMOVE YOUR BOAT FROM THE WATER AND MOVE IT INLAND NOW IS
THE TIME TO DO SO. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO PORT OR
SEEK SAFE HARBOR LATER TODAY AND REMAIN THERE UNTIL EARL PASSES.
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR OFFICIAL STORM
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 4 TO
9 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS 68 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND
SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THURSDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND
CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. WAVES OVER THE LOWER PORTION OF
CHESAPEAKE BAY WILL BUILD BETWEEN 5 AND 8 FEET FROM LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE HIGHEST WAVES EXPECTED
NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE BAY.

$$

VAZ091-093-094-096-031600-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
YORK-ISLE OF WIGHT-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-SUFFOLK-
1156 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS 60 PERCENT.
THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING IN AREAS ALONG AND NEAR CHESAPEAKE BAY. WINDS
FARTHER INLAND WILL BE LIGHTER.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS
BETWEEN 3 AND 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL...OR ABOUT 4.5 TO
5.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER...ALONG THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
AND ADJACENT TRIBUTARIES NORTH OF SEWELLS POINT. THIS WOULD
RESULT IN A WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF TO 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE...WHICH REPRESENTS
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. THE GREATEST RISK OF COASTAL FLOODING AS
A RESULT WILL BE DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES FRIDAY MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.

$$

MDZ024-025-VAZ099-100-031600-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
1156 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED
BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. COVER WINDOWS AND DOORS WITH
SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OUTDOOR
OBJECTS INSIDE. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS...INCLUDING GARAGE
DOORS.

COMPLY WITH ANY EVACUATION ORDERS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF
YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS...OR YOU LIVE IN A SURGE
ZONE OR ANY LOCATION PRONE TO FLOODING...EVACUATE TO A DESIGNATED
SHELTER OR RIDE OUT THE STORM IN THE STURDY HOME OF FAMILY OR
FRIENDS OUTSIDE OF EVACUATION ZONES.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 5 TO
10 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS 66 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND
SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...AND CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY.
ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS
BETWEEN 3 AND 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COAST. THIS WOULD RESULT IN A WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION AROUND
2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE...WHICH
REPRESENTS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. THE GREATEST RISK OF COASTAL
FLOODING AS A RESULT WILL BE DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES FRIDAY
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SIGNIFICANT SWELLS WILL BRING AN HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL ALSO LIKELY PEAK
BETWEEN 10 AND 15 FEET ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST FROM LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE ANTICIPATED STORM SURGE
COMBINED WITH THE HIGH SURF WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION
AND OVERWASH ISSUES ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.

$$

WAMSLEY




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