[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KPHI 021556
HLSPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1156 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...DANGEROUS AND LARGE HURRICANE EARL POSES A THREAT TO THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF PHILADELPHIA QUAD STATE
REGION...NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INLAND SUSSEX...DELAWARE BEACHES.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTAL
WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
WESTERN MONMOUTH...EASTERN MONMOUTH...OCEAN...ATLANTIC...CAPE
MAY...ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY...COASTAL ATLANTIC...COASTAL
OCEAN AND SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE
BAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MIDDLESEX.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.9N...LONGITUDE 74.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 580 MILES SOUTH
OF ATLANTIC CITY NJ...OR ABOUT 570 MILES SOUTH OF DOVER DE. STORM
MOTION WAS NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 18 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS
140 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. TO
DO SO COULD RESULT IN BAD DECISIONS AND PLACE YOU OR THOSE YOU
ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR AT GREATER RISK. IT APPEARS LIKELY THAT
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE COASTAL AREAS OF
DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY...ALONG WITH ROUGH SEAS AND HIGH SURF.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETE
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. FOR INTERESTS AT
PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED
PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR
THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A
WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.
DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT. CLOSELY
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS
INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS
RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY AROUND 2 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

DEZ003-004-031600-
/O.CON.KPHI.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-
1156 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED
BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. COVER WINDOWS AND DOORS WITH
SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OUTDOOR
OBJECTS INSIDE. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS...INCLUDING GARAGE
DOORS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
58 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY MORNING
AND LAST INTO FRIDAY. MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE
HOMES. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF
NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS IS EXPECTED
TO BE MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE. THE STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO
RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 FEET...PERHAPS LOCALLY 2 TO 3 FEET.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
HIGH SURF IS EXPECTED FROM THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WITH MINOR
TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION.

...RIP CURRENTS...
THERE WILL BE A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH FRIDAY AT AREA
BEACHES. BEACH GOERS ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER.

$$

ANZ455-031600-
/O.CON.KPHI.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1156 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 3 TO 7
PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS
TIME IS 67 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY MORNING
AND LAST INTO FRIDAY. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO 8 TO 13 FEET
ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AND 12 TO 17 FEET ON FRIDAY.

$$

ANZ431-031600-
/O.CON.KPHI.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
1156 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 45
TO 51 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN FRIDAY MORNING AND LAST INTO FRIDAY.
SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO 3 TO 6 FEET ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AND
4 TO 8 FEET ON FRIDAY.

$$

NJZ013-014-020-022>027-031600-
/O.CON.KPHI.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
1156 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND ANY HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME
DANGEROUS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN
AROUND.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 55
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN FRIDAY MORNING AND LAST INTO FRIDAY.
ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS IS EXPECTED
TO BE MINOR TO MODERATE. THE STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO RANGE FROM
1 TO 2 FEET...PERHAPS LOCALLY 3 FEET.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
HIGH SURF IS EXPECTED FROM THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WITH MINOR
TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION.

...RIP CURRENTS...
THERE WILL BE A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH FRIDAY AT AREA
BEACHES. BEACH GOERS ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER.

$$

ANZ450>454-031600-
/O.CON.KPHI.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
1156 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 7 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 65 PERCENT. |THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN FRIDAY MORNING AND LAST INTO FRIDAY
EVENING. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO 8 TO 12 FEET ON THURSDAY
NIGHT...AND 12 TO 16 FEET ON FRIDAY.

$$

NJZ012-031600-
/O.CON.KPHI.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MIDDLESEX-
1156 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE
BLOWN AROUND.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 32
TO 38 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE ON FRIDAY. HOWEVER...THE LATEST
FORECAST IS FOR WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS IS EXPECTED
TO BE MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE. THE STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO
RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 FEET...PERHAPS LOCALLY 2 TO 3 FEET.

$$

ROBERTSON


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