[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KBRO 300756 PAA
HLSBRO
CCA

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE ALEX LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
251 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

...ALEX NOW A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN RIO GRANDE
VALLEY AND THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
KENEDY...COASTAL WILLACY AND COASTAL CAMERON.

A HURRICANE WIND WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
INLAND WILLACY...INLAND CAMERON.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...STARR...HIDALGO.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...ZAPATA...JIM HOGG AND BROOKS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS OUT 60 NM BETWEEN BAFFIN BAY AND THE
MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE...INCLUDING THE LAGUNA MADRE.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. PLEASE
LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR
YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 10 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.1N...LONGITUDE 94.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 255 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TX AND SOUTH PADRE ISLAND TX. STORM
MOTION WAS WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 75 MPH.
ALEX IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN FURTHER BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL
SOMETIME WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
ALEX CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED AND INTENSIFY.
THE CIRCULATION OF ALEX COVERS MUCH OF THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE CORE OF ALEX...WHERE THE
STRONGEST WINDS HAVE REACHED HURRICANE FORCE IS MUCH
SMALLER...ABOUT 15 TO 60 MILES IN DIAMETER BUT ALEX REMAINS A
LARGE STORM WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXPANDING OUT AS FAR
AS 150 MILES NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE PRIMARY IMPACT FOR ALL OF
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WILL BE INLAND FLOODING FROM 12 TO 18 HOURS OF
TORRENTIAL RAINS...WITH SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE IMPACTS MORE
LIKELY ALONG THE COASTAL REGIONS OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND AND COASTAL
CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTIES. WINDS GUSTS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
SHOULD BECOME MORE FREQUENT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING
SPREADING FROM THE COAST INTO HIDALGO COUNTY. RAIN SQUALLS TO
PERSIST TONIGHT WITH CONDITIONS DETERIORATING STEADILY OVER SOUTH
PADRE ISLAND PORT ISABEL WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE LOWER VALLEY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND ELSEWHERE LATER WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A MANDATORY REMOVAL OF ALL RECREATIONAL AND HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES
FROM ALL CAMERON COUNTY PARKS IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. VOLUNTARY
EVACUATIONS ARE UNDERWAY FOR RESIDENTS OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND AND
PORT ISABEL. THERE IS ALSO A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR RESIDENTS IN
WILLACY COUNTY. SHELTERS ARE CURRENTLY OPEN IN THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...PORTER HIGH SCHOOL AND OZANAM CENTER IN
BROWNSVILLE...LOAVES AND FISHES IN HARLINGEN...BARRERA ELEMENTARY
IN SANTA ROSA...AND RAYMONDVILLE HIGH SCHOOL. HARLINGEN SOUTH HIGH
SCHOOL WILL OPEN AS A SHELTER AT 6 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING. THERE
ARE 11 SHELTERS OPEN IN HIDALGO COUNTY...MOSTLY AT COUNTY SCHOOLS.
RESIDENTS OF HIDALGO COUNTY WHO LIVE IN MOBILE HOMES...OR IN
POORLY CONSTRUCTED WOOD FRAME HOMES...OR IN FLOOD PRONE
AREAS...ARE ADVISED TO EVACUATE.


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION WILL BE PROVIDED AS RECEIVED BY THIS
OFFICE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE AROUND OR BEFORE 6 AM CDT.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-301700-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
251 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
ALEX HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE. ALEX CONTINUES
ON A WESTWARD TRACK AND IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS WILL BEGIN OVER THE GULF AND LAGUNA
MADRE WATERS ON OR BEFORE DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.


...WINDS AND SEAS...
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH SEA CONTINUE TO BUILD...REACHING 12 FEET.
OUTER BAND RAIN SQUALLS WILL INTENSIFY AND BECOME MORE FREQUENT
BEFORE DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY WITH OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS REACHING 35
TO 45 KNOTS IN STRONGER CELLS ALONG WITH TORRENTIAL RAINS REDUCING
VISIBILITY BELOW 1 NM.

WEDNESDAY...WINDS TO INCREASE TO 35 TO 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...AND 45 TO 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70
TO 75 KNOTS IN STRONGER SQUALLS BY EVENING. THESE WINDS WILL
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING TO SOUTHEAST AT 25
TO 35 KNOTS DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 20 TO 25
FEET OR MORE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
TROPICAL FUNNELS MAY FORM THROUGH THIS EVENING IN SOUTHWEST
MOVING BANDS...BUT WATERSPOUTS ARE UNLIKELY.

EMBEDDED WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE IN OUTER BANDS BEGINNING
OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE THE CORE OF ALEX ARRIVES
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BOATERS SEEKING LAST MINUTE
SAFETY SHOULD BE AWARE FOR QUICK DEVELOPING WATERSPOUTS AND BE
READY TO TAKE COVER AT A MOMENTS NOTICE.

$$

TXZ251-256-257-301700-
/O.COR.KBRO.HU.W.1001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
251 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
ALEX HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE. ALEX CONTINUES
ON A WESTWARD TRACK AND IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS WILL BEGIN OVER THE GULF AND LAGUNA
MADRE WATERS ON OR BEFORE DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS WILL REMAIN AT 10 TO 20 MPH OVERNIGHT
WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN RAIN BANDS. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO
25 MPH BY SUNRISE...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN RAIN BANDS. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WILL ARRIVE AROUND MIDDAY WEDNESDAY...WITH SOME
HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS ARRIVING WEDNESDAY EVENING AND NIGHT
BEFORE SLOWLY DIMINISHING THURSDAY. WIND SPEEDS COULD BE HIGHER
DEPENDING ON WHETHER ALEX STRENGTHENS RAPIDLY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT OR
DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE GULF.

IMPACT STATEMENT: DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED.

MOST MOBILE HOMES WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE.
SOME OF POOR CONSTRUCTION WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED.
HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE DAMAGE TO
SHINGLES...SIDING...AND GUTTERS. SOME WINDOWS WILL BE BLOWN OUT.
UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME
AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. DOZENS
OF WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. LOCAL POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT
ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS.

MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND
ROTTING SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES WILL BE UPROOTED. DOZENS OF
PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO
CITRUS ORCHARDS AND NEWLY PLANTED LOWLAND CROPS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL PRODUCE ONE HALF TO ONE AND ONE HALF INCHES
OF RAIN THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. HEAVIER BANDS WILL ARRIVE AFTER
MIDNIGHT INTO MIDDAY WEDNESDAY WITH ANOTHER HALF TO ONE AND ONE
HALF INCHES OF RAIN. SQUALLS WILL FOLLOW WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY NOON
THURSDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES BUT
COULD BE AS HIGH AS 15 TO 20 INCHES WHERE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS
FALL.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RESIDENTS CAN
PLAN ON THE FOLLOWING IMPACTS:

THIS MAY BECOME A DANGEROUS FLOOD SITUATION! PERSONS LIVING IN OR
NEAR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER EVACUATION IMMEDIATELY.
SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR IN THESE LOCATIONS. MINOR
PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN OTHER AREAS. SOME POWER OUTAGES
ARE EXPECTED.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 5 FEET OR
HIGHER. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN
2 AND 4 FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO 1 TO 2 FEET.
NUMEROUS MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED
UNTIL WELL AFTER FLOOD WATERS RECEDE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT REMAINS DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHT OF THE STORM
TIDE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS ALONG THE DEEP SOUTH TEXAS COAST
GIVEN REMAINING UNCERTAINTY IN SIZE AND INTENSITY...AND TO A
LESSER DEGREE TRACK OF ALEX. THE LATEST FORECAST SUGGESTS A STORM
TIDE WHICH COULD RANGE UP TO 6 FEET...RESULTING IN 2 TO 4 FEET OF
INUNDATION ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. HIGHEST INUNDATION WOULD FAVOR
AREAS WHERE WATER POOLS...INCLUDING THE BROWNSVILLE SHIP CHANNEL
ENTRANCE...PORT ISABEL...AND LAGUNA VISTA. THE COMBINATION OF
WAVE SET UP...TIDE RUN UP...AND STORM SURGE WILL BRING WATER TO
THE DUNES BY HIGH TIDE WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND COULD BREACH THE
SEA WALLS WEDNESDAY EVENING.



...TORNADOES...
TROPICAL TORNADOES TO BECOME AN INCREASING THREAT AS THE CORE OF
ALEX APPROACHES THE COAST WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE OUTER BANDS COULD PRODUCE AN ISOLATED SHORT
LIVED TORNADO. TROPICAL TORNADOES CAN OCCUR WITH LITTLE OR NO
WARNING.

$$

TXZ254-255-301700-
/O.COR.KBRO.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100701T1200Z/
INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
251 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
ALEX HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE. ALEX CONTINUES
ON A WESTWARD TRACK AND IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS WILL BEGIN OVER THE GULF AND LAGUNA
MADRE WATERS ON OR BEFORE DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.


...INLAND FLOODING...
OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL PRODUCE ONE HALF TO ONE AND ONE HALF INCHES
OF RAIN THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. HEAVIER BANDS WILL ARRIVE AFTER
MIDNIGHT INTO MIDDAY WEDNESDAY WITH ANOTHER HALF TO ONE AND ONE
HALF INCHES OF RAIN. SQUALLS WILL FOLLOW WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY NOON
THURSDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES BUT
COULD BE AS HIGH AS 15 TO 20 INCHES WHERE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS
FALL.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RESIDENTS CAN
PLAN ON THE FOLLOWING IMPACTS:

THIS MAY BECOME A DANGEROUS FLOOD SITUATION! PERSONS LIVING IN OR
NEAR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER EVACUATION IMMEDIATELY.
SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR IN THESE LOCATIONS. MINOR
PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN OTHER AREAS. SOME POWER OUTAGES
ARE EXPECTED.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 5 FEET OR
HIGHER. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN
2 AND 4 FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO 1 TO 2 FEET.
NUMEROUS MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED
UNTIL WELL AFTER FLOOD WATERS RECEDE.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS WILL REMAIN AT 10 TO 20 MPH OVERNIGHT...WITH
GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN RAIN BANDS. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH
AROUND SUNRISE...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN RAIN BANDS. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WILL ARRIVE AROUND MIDDAY WEDNESDAY OR LATER
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. OCCASIONAL HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLY
ARRIVING WEDNESDAY EVENING MAINLY WITH STRONG SQUALLS. THE HIGHER
GUSTS TO BECOME MORE FREQUENT THROUGH MIDNIGHT OR LATER BEFORE
SLOWLY DIMINISHING THURSDAY. WIND SPEEDS COULD BE HIGHER DEPENDING
ON WHETHER ALEX STRENGTHENS RAPIDLY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT IN THE OPEN
WATERS OF THE GULF.

IMPACT STATEMENT: DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED.

MOST MOBILE HOMES WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE.
SOME OF POOR CONSTRUCTION WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED.
HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE DAMAGE TO
SHINGLES...SIDING...AND GUTTERS. SOME WINDOWS WILL BE BLOWN OUT.
UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME
AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. DOZENS
OF WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. LOCAL POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT
ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS.

MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND
ROTTING SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES WILL BE UPROOTED. DOZENS OF
PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO
CITRUS ORCHARDS AND NEWLY PLANTED LOWLAND CROPS.

...TORNADOES...
TROPICAL TORNADOES TO BECOME AN INCREASING THREAT AS THE CORE OF
ALEX APPROACHES THE COAST WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE OUTER BANDS COULD PRODUCE AN ISOLATED SHORT
LIVED TORNADO. TROPICAL TORNADOES CAN OCCUR WITH LITTLE OR NO
WARNING.

$$

TXZ252-253-301700-
/O.COR.KBRO.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100701T1200Z/
STARR-HIDALGO-
251 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
ALEX HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE. ALEX CONTINUES
ON A WESTWARD TRACK AND IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS WILL BEGIN OVER THE GULF AND LAGUNA
MADRE WATERS ON OR BEFORE DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.


...INLAND FLOODING...
OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL PRODUCE ONE HALF TO ONE AND ONE HALF INCHES
OF RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. HEAVIER BANDS WILL ARRIVE LATER
WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH ANOTHER HALF TO ONE AND ONE HALF INCHES
OF RAIN BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. SQUALLS WILL FOLLOW LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE
TAPERING OFF BY NOON THURSDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL WILL RANGE
FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES BUT COULD BE AS HIGH AS 15 TO 20 INCHES WHERE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS FALL.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RESIDENTS CAN
PLAN ON THE FOLLOWING IMPACTS:

THIS MAY BECOME A DANGEROUS FLOOD SITUATION! PERSONS LIVING IN OR
NEAR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER EVACUATION IMMEDIATELY.
SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR IN THESE LOCATIONS. MINOR
PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN OTHER AREAS. SOME POWER OUTAGES
ARE EXPECTED.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 5 FEET OR
HIGHER. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN
2 AND 4 FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO 1 TO 2 FEET.
NUMEROUS MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED
UNTIL WELL AFTER FLOOD WATERS RECEDE.

SEVERAL ARROYOS AND CREEKS WILL SURPASS BANK FULL...FOR UP TO
3 OR MORE HOURS BEGINNING LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
DEPENDING ON THE DURATION OF RAINFALL. RESIDENTS LIVING IN FLOOD
PRONE AREAS NEAR HIGHLY VOLATILE ARROYOS SHOULD CONSIDER
EVACUATING TO HIGHER GROUND TODAY.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS WILL REMAIN AT 10 TO 20 MPH THIS
EVENING...WITH GUSTS TO 25 TO 30 MPH IN RAIN BANDS. WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH AROUND SUNRISE WEDNESDAY...WITH GUSTS TO
30 MPH IN RAIN BANDS WITH SQUALLS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WILL ARRIVE IN BANDS BY LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS REACHING EASTERN HIDALGO COUNTY BY
WEDNESDAY EVENING AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS REACHING STARR
COUNTY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE EVENT: IN HIDALGO COUNTY...SUSTAINED
WINDS COULD RANGE FROM 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH FROM
MCALLEN EAST...AND 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH WEST OF
MCALLEN. IN STARR COUNTY...SUSTAINED WINDS WILL RISE FROM 25 TO 35
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 TO 55 MPH. WIND SPEEDS COULD BE HIGHER
DEPENDING ON WHETHER ALEX STRENGTHENS RAPIDLY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT IN
THE OPEN WATERS OF THE GULF.

WIND IMPACTS: MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE
HOMES...ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR
CARPORTS. POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE
AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND
SIDING DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND
MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED
DOWN RESULTING IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES...
ESPECIALLY EAST OF MCALLEN. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES
WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE
DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

...TORNADOES...
TROPICAL TORNADOES TO BECOME AN INCREASING THREAT AS THE CORE OF
ALEX APPROACHES THE COAST WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE OUTER BANDS COULD PRODUCE AN ISOLATED SHORT
LIVED TORNADO. TROPICAL TORNADOES CAN OCCUR WITH LITTLE OR NO
WARNING.

$$

TXZ248>250-301700-
/O.COR.KBRO.TI.A.0002.000000T0000Z-100701T1200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-
251 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...

...NEW INFORMATION...
ALEX HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE. ALEX CONTINUES
ON A WESTWARD TRACK AND IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS WILL BEGIN OVER THE GULF AND LAGUNA
MADRE WATERS ON OR BEFORE DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.


...INLAND FLOODING...
OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL PRODUCE ONE HALF TO ONE INCH OF RAIN
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NOON. HEAVIER BANDS WILL ARRIVE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...EARLIER IN BROOKS COUNTY...WITH ANOTHER HALF TO ONE
AND ONE HALF INCHES OF RAIN BY EVENING. SQUALLS WILL FOLLOW
WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO EARLY THURSDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF DURING
THE AFTERNOON THURSDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO
9 INCHES IN ZAPATA COUNTY...4 TO 8 INCHES FROM JIM HOGG THROUGH
BROOKS COUNTY...BUT COULD BE AS HIGH AS 10 OR MORE INCHES WHERE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS FALL.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RESIDENTS CAN
PLAN ON THE FOLLOWING IMPACTS:

THIS MAY BECOME A DANGEROUS FLOOD SITUATION! PERSONS LIVING IN OR
NEAR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER EVACUATION IMMEDIATELY.
SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR IN THESE LOCATIONS. MINOR
PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN OTHER AREAS. SOME POWER OUTAGES
ARE EXPECTED.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 5 FEET OR
HIGHER. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN
2 AND 4 FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO 1 TO 2 FEET.
NUMEROUS MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED
UNTIL WELL AFTER FLOOD WATERS RECEDE.

SEVERAL ARROYOS AND CREEKS WILL SURPASS BANK FULL...FOR UP TO
3 OR MORE HOURS BEGINNING LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
DEPENDING ON THE DURATION OF RAINFALL. RESIDENTS LIVING IN FLOOD
PRONE AREAS NEAR HIGHLY VOLATILE ARROYOS SHOULD CONSIDER
EVACUATING TO HIGHER GROUND TODAY.

...TORNADOES...
TROPICAL TORNADOES TO BECOME AN INCREASING THREAT AS THE CORE OF
ALEX APPROACHES THE COAST WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE OUTER BANDS COULD PRODUCE AN ISOLATED SHORT
LIVED TORNADO. TROPICAL TORNADOES CAN OCCUR WITH LITTLE OR NO
WARNING.


...WINDS...
SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS WILL REMAIN AT 10 TO 15 MPH THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH GUSTS TO 25 TO 30 MPH IN RAIN BANDS.
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH GUSTS
TO 35 MPH IN STRONGER RAIN BANDS...THEN REACH 25 TO 35 MPH IN
...GUSTING TO 50 MPH IN THE STRONGEST SQUALLS OR RAIN BANDS
AS ALEX MOVES INLAND ALONG OR SOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE. WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH ON THURSDAY.

FOR WIND 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 MPH:

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR IN OLDER MOBILE HOME PARKS. NEWLY PLANTED
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. SOME
SMALL TWIGS WILL SEPARATE FROM TREES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE
UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...
INDOORS.

$$






This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net