[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 192336
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU AUG 19 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
HOWEVER...NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED BEFORE THIS SYSTEM
MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND CENTRAL AMERICA ON FRIDAY.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER EXTENDS FROM THE WEST COAST OF
AFRICA TO THE SOUTH OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.  THE ASSOCIATED
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER
ORGANIZED THIS EVENING ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT
MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



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