[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Aug 27 19:13:52 CDT 2009


WTUS82 KMHX 280012
HLSMHX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM DANNY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
812 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2009

...DISORGANIZED DANNY MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN COASTAL EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO DUCK AND
THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANNY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.3 WEST...OR ABOUT 515 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. STORM MOTION WAS
NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 50 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE NOT A SINGLE POINT AND THE THREATS EXTEND
WELL BEYOND THE CENTER. THE MAIN IMPACTS WE ARE CURRENTLY
EXPECTING FROM TROPICAL STORM DANNY ARE MARINE RELATED...WITH
DANGEROUS SURF AND HIGH RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED FOR ALL AREA BEACHES
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS IS EXPECTED ALONG THE CENTRAL OUTER BANKS AND THE ADJACENT
COASTAL WATERS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. SURGE AND
RAINFALL IMPACTS ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL...BUT IT IS
CRUCIAL FOR PEOPLE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR DANNY AS ANY CHANGES IN
THE TRACK OR INTENSITY WOULD LEAD TO CHANGES IN THE IMPACTS FOR
OUR AREA.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED
THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE
IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION.
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL
PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE
DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER
DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND YOUR
LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.


&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY AROUND AROUND MIDNIGHT...OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

NCZ095-103-104-290015-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.A.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CARTERET-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
812 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
DANNY IS NOW MOVING SLOWLY NORTH AT 5 MPH. OTHERWISE...NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.
PREPARATIONS FOR THIS STORM SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 37 PERCENT FOR THE CENTRAL OUTER BANKS...HIGHEST BETWEEN
OCRACOKE TO OREGON INLET. THERE IS ABOUT A 20 TO 25 PERCENT CHANCE FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FOR EASTERN CARTERET COUNTY AND THE
REST OF THE OUTER BANKS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR THESE WINDS IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM DANNY PASSES NEARBY...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS SHOULD NOT INCREASE. HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL SOME
POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SINCE THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.

...RIP CURRENTS...
SWELL FROM DANNY WILL BUILD THROUGH FRIDAY AND IS EXPECTED TO
LEAD TO BREAKING WAVES IN THE 4 TO 6 FOOT RANGE WITH BIGGER
SETS...HIGHEST FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH THROUGH THE NORTHERN OUTER
BANKS. THIS WILL LEAD TO A HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS FOR ALL
AREA BEACHES AS WELL. BEACH GOERS SHOULD HEED THE ADVISE OF LIFE
GUARDS AND ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER.

$$

AMZ150-152-154-156-290015-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM-
812 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
DANNY IS NOW MOVING SLOWLY NORTH AT 5 MPH. OTHERWISE...NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD CONSIDER RETURNING TO PORT OR SEEKING SAFE
HARBOR BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AT THE LATEST. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM
INFORMATION. STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST. PREPARATIONS FOR THIS STORM SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS
POSSIBLE.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 44 PERCENT...MAINLY BETWEEN THE ATLANTIC WATERS OFFSHORE
OCRACOKE THROUGH OREGON INLET. MOST OF OUR OTHER WATERS HAVE ABOUT
A 25 TO 35 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. IF
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WERE TO OCCUR...THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD
OF ONSET IS FRIDAY EVENING AND CONTINUING UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM DANNY PASSES NEARBY...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS SHOULD NOT INCREASE. HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL SOME
POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SINCE THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.

...MARINE...
SEAS OF 8 TO 9 FEET IN THE COASTAL WATERS ARE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY
NIGHT WITH ISOLATED SEAS AROUND 10-12 FEET OFFSHORE CAPE HATTERAS
POSSIBLE. MARINERS TRAVELING IN THE NEARSHORE ZONE AND AROUND
INLETS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR LARGE BREAKING WAVES AS LONG PERIOD
SWELL FROM DANNY SHOALS. SEE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR MORE
INFORMATION.

$$

AMZ130-135-290015-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ALBEMARLE SOUND-PAMLICO SOUND-
812 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
DANNY IS NOW MOVING SLOWLY NORTH AT 5 MPH. OTHERWISE...NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. PREPARATIONS FOR THIS STORM SHOULD BE
MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE.


&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 36 PERCENT...HIGHEST FOR THE EASTERN PAMLICO SOUND. OTHER
WATERS HAVE ABOUT A 20 TO 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS. IF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WERE TO OCCUR...THE MOST
LIKELY PERIOD OF ONSET IS FRIDAY EVENING AND CONTINUING UNTIL
SATURDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM DANNY PASSES NEARBY...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS SHOULD NOT INCREASE. HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL SOME
POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SINCE THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.

...MARINE...
WAVES IN THE SOUNDS WILL BE 2 TO 3 FEET. SEE COASTAL WATERS
FORECAST FOR MORE INFORMATION.

$$






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